Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Neonode's (NASDAQ:NEON) Cash Burn Situation

NasdaqCM:NEON 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value
NasdaqCM:NEON 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value
Explore Neonode's Fair Values from the Community and select yours

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. Indeed, Neonode (NASDAQ:NEON) stock is up 778% in the last year, providing strong gains for shareholders. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Neonode shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

Advertisement

How Long Is Neonode's Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Neonode last reported its March 2025 balance sheet in May 2025, it had zero debt and cash worth US$15m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$5.1m. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.9 years as of March 2025. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:NEON Debt to Equity History August 8th 2025

See our latest analysis for Neonode

How Well Is Neonode Growing?

It was fairly positive to see that Neonode reduced its cash burn by 23% during the last year. But the revenue dip of 17% in the same period was a bit concerning. In light of the data above, we're fairly sanguine about the business growth trajectory. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Hard Would It Be For Neonode To Raise More Cash For Growth?

There's no doubt Neonode seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Neonode's cash burn of US$5.1m is about 1.3% of its US$394m market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

So, Should We Worry About Neonode's Cash Burn?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Neonode is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Although its falling revenue does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 2 warning signs for Neonode (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Neonode might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:NEON

Neonode

Develops optical sensing solutions for contactless touch, touch, and gesture sensing in the United States, Japan, South Korea, Germany, Sweden, China, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with slight risk.

Advertisement

Updated Narratives

BL
BlackGoat
GOOG logo
BlackGoat on Alphabet ·

Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight

Fair Value:US$324.481.3% undervalued
76 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
BE
Bejgal
MNSO logo
Bejgal on MINISO Group Holding ·

MINISO's fair value is projected at 26.69 with an anticipated PE ratio shift of 20x

Fair Value:US$26.6926.7% undervalued
45 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8147.4% undervalued
9 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3405.9% undervalued
136 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
89 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$232.7922.6% undervalued
927 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative