Lantronix Valuation

Is LTRX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LTRX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LTRX ($2.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($7.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LTRX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LTRX?

Key metric: As LTRX is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LTRX. This is calculated by dividing LTRX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LTRX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.7x
SalesUS$161.72m
Market CapUS$105.42m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LTRX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LTRX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.1x
BKTI BK Technologies
1.6xn/aUS$128.0m
PCTI PCTEL
1.5x7.0%US$132.9m
AVNW Aviat Networks
0.4x7.9%US$182.7m
KVHI KVH Industries
0.9x-5.6%US$102.3m
LTRX Lantronix
0.7x5.3%US$105.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LTRX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LTRX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Communications Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
COMM CommScope Holding Company
0.2x-0.08%US$977.93m
VSAT Viasat
0.2x1.8%US$876.93m
CMTL Comtech Telecommunications
0.2x4.3%US$84.44m
TESS TESSCO Technologies
0.2xn/aUS$83.30m
LTRX 0.7xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies12PS012345+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LTRX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the US Communications industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LTRX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LTRX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LTRX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LTRX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.90
US$5.80
+100.0%
16.0%US$7.50US$5.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$3.96
US$7.30
+84.3%
13.4%US$9.00US$6.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$4.01
US$7.30
+82.0%
13.4%US$9.00US$6.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$3.59
US$7.60
+111.7%
15.8%US$9.00US$6.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$3.99
US$7.60
+90.5%
15.8%US$9.00US$6.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$3.61
US$7.60
+110.5%
15.8%US$9.00US$6.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$3.98
US$7.60
+91.0%
15.8%US$9.00US$6.00n/a5
May ’25US$3.69
US$7.60
+106.0%
15.8%US$9.00US$6.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$3.57
US$8.00
+124.1%
11.2%US$9.00US$7.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$4.15
US$8.00
+92.8%
11.2%US$9.00US$7.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$6.16
US$9.50
+54.2%
14.9%US$12.00US$8.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$5.86
US$9.50
+62.1%
14.9%US$12.00US$8.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$5.97
US$9.50
+59.1%
14.9%US$12.00US$8.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$4.27
US$9.50
+122.5%
14.9%US$12.00US$8.00US$3.965
Oct ’24US$4.45
US$9.50
+113.5%
14.9%US$12.00US$8.00US$4.015
Sep ’24US$3.96
US$9.00
+127.3%
9.3%US$10.50US$8.00US$3.595
Aug ’24US$4.56
US$9.00
+97.4%
9.3%US$10.50US$8.00US$3.995
Jul ’24US$4.21
US$9.00
+113.8%
9.3%US$10.50US$8.00US$3.615
Jun ’24US$4.36
US$9.00
+106.4%
9.3%US$10.50US$8.00US$3.985
May ’24US$3.80
US$9.90
+160.5%
4.9%US$10.50US$9.00US$3.695
Apr ’24US$4.34
US$9.90
+128.1%
4.9%US$10.50US$9.00US$3.575
Mar ’24US$5.09
US$9.90
+94.5%
4.9%US$10.50US$9.00US$4.155
Feb ’24US$4.95
US$10.10
+104.0%
6.6%US$11.00US$9.00US$6.165
Jan ’24US$4.32
US$11.70
+170.8%
10.0%US$13.00US$10.00US$5.865
Dec ’23US$4.94
US$11.70
+136.8%
10.0%US$13.00US$10.00US$5.975
Nov ’23US$5.09
US$12.20
+139.7%
6.1%US$13.00US$11.00US$4.275

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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