Is Infinera Corporation (NASDAQ:INFN) Spending Too Much Money?

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Infinera Corporation (NASDAQ:INFN) shareholders, and potential investors, need to understand how much cash the business makes from its core operational activities, as well as how much is invested back into the business. After investment, what’s left over is what belongs to you, the investor. This also determines how much the stock is worth. Today we will examine Infinera’s ability to generate cash flows, as well as the level of capital expenditure it is expected to incur over the next couple of years, which will result in how much money goes to you.

View our latest analysis for Infinera

What is Infinera’s cash yield?

Infinera’s free cash flow (FCF) is the level of cash flow the business generates from its operational activities, after it reinvests in the company as capital expenditure. This type of expense is needed for Infinera to continue to grow, or at least, maintain its current operations.

The two ways to assess whether Infinera’s FCF is sufficient, is to compare the FCF yield to the market index yield, as well as determine whether the top-line operating cash flows will continue to grow.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Along with a positive operating cash flow, Infinera also generates a positive free cash flow. However, the yield of 2.28% is not sufficient to compensate for the level of risk investors are taking on. This is because Infinera’s yield is well-below the market yield, in addition to serving higher risk compared to the well-diversified market index.

NASDAQGS:INFN Net Worth February 1st 19
NASDAQGS:INFN Net Worth February 1st 19

Is Infinera’s yield sustainable?

Can Infinera improve its operating cash production in the future? Let’s take a quick look at the cash flow trend the company is expected to deliver over time. Over the next two years, expected growth for Infinera’s operating cash is negative. This is unfavourable to its future outlook, especially if capital expenditure heads the opposite direction. Below is a table of Infinera’s operating cash flow in the past year, as well as the anticipated level going forward.
Current +1 year +2 year
Operating Cash Flow (OCF) -US$28.5m -US$19.6m US$32m
OCF Growth Year-On-Year -31% -261%
OCF Growth From Current Year -211%

Next Steps:

The company’s low yield relative to the market index means you are taking on more risk holding the single-stock Infinera as opposed to the diversified market portfolio, and being compensated for less. Though the high operating cash flow growth in the future could change this. Keep in mind that cash is only one aspect of investment analysis and there are other important fundamentals to assess. You should continue to research Infinera to get a more holistic view of the company by looking at:

  1. Historical Performance: What has INFN’s returns been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Infinera’s board and the CEO’s back ground.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.