Anyone researching Hollysys Automation Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:HOLI) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The second type is the broader market volatility, which you cannot diversify away, since it arises from macroeconomic factors which directly affects all the stocks on the market.
Some stocks see their prices move in concert with the market. Others tend towards stronger, gentler or unrelated price movements. Some investors use beta as a measure of how much a certain stock is impacted by market risk (volatility). While we should keep in mind that Warren Buffett has cautioned that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk’, beta is still a useful factor to consider. To make good use of it you must first know that the beta of the overall market is one. Any stock with a beta of greater than one is considered more volatile than the market, while those with a beta below one are either less volatile or poorly correlated with the market.
What does HOLI’s beta value mean to investors?
Given that it has a beta of 1.37, we can surmise that the Hollysys Automation Technologies share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). If this beta value holds true in the future, Hollysys Automation Technologies shares are likely to rise more than the market when the market is going up, but fall faster when the market is going down. Beta is worth considering, but it’s also important to consider whether Hollysys Automation Technologies is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.
How does HOLI’s size impact its beta?
With a market capitalisation of US$955m, Hollysys Automation Technologies is a small cap stock. However, it is big enough to catch the attention of professional investors. It has a relatively high beta, which is not unusual among small-cap stocks. Because it takes less capital to move the share price of a smaller company, actively traded small-cap stocks often have a higher beta that a similar large-cap stock.
What this means for you:
Beta only tells us that the Hollysys Automation Technologies share price is sensitive to broader market movements. This could indicate that it is a high growth company, or is heavily influenced by sentiment because it is speculative. Alternatively, it could have operating leverage in its business model. Ultimately, beta is an interesting metric, but there’s plenty more to learn. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it’s well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as Hollysys Automation Technologies’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:
- Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for HOLI’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for HOLI’s outlook.
- Past Track Record: Has HOLI been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of HOLI’s historicals for more clarity.
- Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how HOLI measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.
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