Stock Analysis

After Leaping 33% Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVLV) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

NasdaqCM:EVLV
Source: Shutterstock

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EVLV) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 33% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 49%.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.7x, you may consider Evolv Technologies Holdings as a stock not worth researching with its 8.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Evolv Technologies Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:EVLV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 14th 2023

What Does Evolv Technologies Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Evolv Technologies Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Evolv Technologies Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Evolv Technologies Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Evolv Technologies Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 94%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 44% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 20% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Evolv Technologies Holdings' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Evolv Technologies Holdings' P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Evolv Technologies Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Evolv Technologies Holdings that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Evolv Technologies Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.