Loading...
CPTN logo

Cepton, Inc.NasdaqCM:CPTN Stock Report

Market Cap US$52.2m
Share Price
n/a
My Fair Value
n/a
1Y3.5%
7D-0.3%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Cepton, Inc.

NasdaqCM:CPTN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$52.2m

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Cepton (CPTN) Stock Overview

Provides lidar-based solutions for automotive, smart cities, smart spaces, and smart industrial applications in the United States, Japan, China, and internationally. More details

CPTN fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation1/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health6/6
Dividends0/6

CPTN Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Cepton, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Cepton
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$3.25
52 Week HighUS$3.81
52 Week LowUS$2.38
Beta0.076
1 Month Change0.93%
3 Month Change2.27%
1 Year Change3.50%
3 Year Change-96.74%
5 Year Changen/a
Change since IPO-96.60%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article Jun 28

Will Cepton (NASDAQ:CPTN) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made...
Analysis Article Apr 05

After Leaping 28% Cepton, Inc. (NASDAQ:CPTN) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Cepton, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CPTN ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...
Analysis Article Apr 03

Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their Cepton, Inc. (NASDAQ:CPTN) Outlook

The analysts covering Cepton, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CPTN ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a...
Analysis Article Mar 27

Here's Why We're Watching Cepton's (NASDAQ:CPTN) Cash Burn Situation

Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and...
Analysis Article Sep 22

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Cepton's (NASDAQ:CPTN) Cash Burn Situation

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the...
Analysis Article Aug 24

Shareholders In Cepton (NASDAQ:CPTN) Should Look Beyond Earnings For The Full Story

Even though Cepton, Inc. ( NASDAQ:CPTN ) posted strong earnings recently, the stock hasn't reacted in a large way. We...
Seeking Alpha Aug 01

Cepton picks internal executive for COO role

Cepton (NASDAQ:CPTN) appointed Dr. Liqun Han as COO; he will continue to lead execution of Cepton's flagship ADAS lidar program and drive product success to support the company's growing presence across automotive and smart infrastructure markets. Since joining in 2016, Dr. Han has led Cepton’s product development, commercialization and operational excellence teams as VP, Operations, and most recently as SVP, Operations.
Seeking Alpha Jul 22

Cepton: Better Times Ahead

Cepton is headed towards the launch of an automotive production deal for their Lidars. The company continues to project a massive ramp in revenues, but the cash balance only ended March at $45 million. The stock is very appealing considering the business prospects, but the company needs to raise more cash to fund operations before becoming ultra-bullish on the story. A lot of sectors had companies rush to complete SPAC deals and typically the leading companies went first. In the Lidar sensor space, Cepton (CPTN) was the last of a group to complete deals, but the company is not necessarily the worst in the sector. My investment thesis is Bullish on the stock trading at only $1.50 after completing the SPAC deal only back in February. Automotive Pipeline The company has the largest ADAS Lidar series production award to date. The plan is for the series production to start in 2023 with General Motors (GM) Ultra Cruise that combines cameras, radars and Lidar to an integrated ADAS system. Over the next few years, the company will expand the program to over 12+ vehicle models and alliance partners with the deal will be starting with several thousand units shipped this year. Cepton April 2022 Presentation The company hasn't announced a contract award amount yet, but Lidar sensor competitor Innoviz Technologies (INVZ) announced a major $4+ billion deal with an automotive OEM. The deal sets a rather larger hurdle for the GM contract to top. The GM Ultra Cruise deal is supposed to involve thousands of Lidar sensors this year leading to scaled production in 2023 and beyond. In total, Innoviz lists over $6.6 billion in backlog and Luminar Technologies (LAZR) was supposed to be the leader in the automotive sector. The scale of automotive deals and the involvement of Cepton with both GM and Ford (F) provide great coverage for the business targets provided as part of the SPAC deal announced less than a year ago. With the crackdown on SPAC forward projections by mid-2021, the company had a push to not be overly aggressive on projections. Revenue is still set to soar as Smart Infrastructure deals ramp prior to the automotive market that ultimately is forecast to account for 70% of total revenues. Cepton SPAC Presentation Despite some of the positive news on a major OEM deal with GM, the stock has absolutely collapsed to only $1.50. The SPAC deal just closed in February when the shareholders approved the merger at $10. Minimal Business Now As with all of the other Lidar players, Cepton has a very minimal revenue stream right now. For Q1'22, the company only reported revenue of $1.5 million. Revenues were up nearly 240%, but the amount was still near immaterial for a business with a TAM running into the billions. Cepton had promised material revenues of $250 million by 2024 jumping to $861 million in 2025. Analysts now have those numbers targeted at $177 million to $540 million by 2025. Hitting the updated targets would be very bullish for the stock. Seeking Alpha The biggest negative on the stock is the lack of cash on the balance sheet. Cepton ended the March quarter with a cash balance of only $45 million. The company is relying on the Trinity loan facility for another $15 million and a Lincoln Park Capital equity purchase commitment for another $100 million. Cepton only has a market cap of $200+ million, but the company had EBITDA losses of $11.4 million in Q1'22 with negative operating cash flows of $19.5 million. The Lidar sensor company most definitely will need to raise additional funds in order to finance the business and the stock trading at only $1.50 is problematic for this endeavor.
Seeking Alpha Mar 01

Cepton: Short Squeezes Provide Interesting Short Selling Opportunities

The company recently listed on NASDAQ through a SPAC deal and redemptions were around 90%. It seems that retail investors have realized the public float is low and there appears there was a short squeeze on February 17 when the share price hit $80.16. I think we could see more short squeezes in the near future, which could create good short selling scenarios. Historically, short squeezes rarely last more than a couple of days and if that happens again with Cepton stock, the share price is likely to fall back to around $10-$12 per share once more.

Shareholder Returns

CPTNUS ElectronicUS Market
7D-0.3%4.5%0.8%
1Y3.5%98.0%24.2%

Return vs Industry: CPTN underperformed the US Electronic industry which returned 23.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CPTN underperformed the US Market which returned 24.4% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CPTN's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CPTN volatility
CPTN Average Weekly Movement1.3%
Electronic Industry Average Movement9.0%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.1%

Stable Share Price: CPTN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CPTN's weekly volatility has decreased from 7% to 1% over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
201687Jun Peiwww.cepton.com

Cepton, Inc. provides lidar-based solutions for automotive, smart cities, smart spaces, and smart industrial applications in the United States, Japan, China, and internationally. The company offers autograde lidar sensors, including Cepton Ultra, a slimmest lidar with MagnoSteer technology and proprietary ASIC chipset, enabling a combination of 300-meter range at 10% reflectivity and 0.05° resolution; Vista-X, a compact lidar solution with a range of up to 200m for long-range applications in ADAS L2+/L3, AV L4/L5, and suitable for smart infrastructure applications; and Nova, an extremely-small form factor lidar solution with a range of up to 30m for near-range applications in ADAS L2+/L3, AV L4/L5, and suitable for smart infrastructure applications. It also provides industrial grade lidar sensors, such as Vista-P, a compact lidar solution with a range of up to 200m for long-range applications in ADAS L2+/L3, AV L4/L5, and smart infrastructure applications; and Sora-P, an ultra-high scan rate, compact, and quasi line-scanning lidar solution that delivers high-fidelity profiling of objects moving at high speeds for free flow tolling and other industrial applications.

Cepton, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Cepton's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CPTN fundamental statistics
Market capUS$52.17m
Earnings (TTM)-US$25.97m
Revenue (TTM)US$17.87m
2.9x
P/S Ratio
-2.0x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CPTN income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$17.87m
Cost of RevenueUS$8.48m
Gross ProfitUS$9.39m
Other ExpensesUS$35.37m
Earnings-US$25.97m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-1.62
Gross Margin52.55%
Net Profit Margin-145.34%
Debt/Equity Ratio0%

How did CPTN perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 22:57
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Cepton, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard ShannonCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC
Samik ChatterjeeJ.P. Morgan
Matthew GalinkoMaxim Group