Stock Analysis

CPS Technologies Corporation's (NASDAQ:CPSH) 33% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

NasdaqCM:CPSH
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CPS Technologies Corporation (NASDAQ:CPSH) share price has dived 33% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 54% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think CPS Technologies' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.6x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 17x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

CPS Technologies certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Check out our latest analysis for CPS Technologies

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NasdaqCM:CPSH Price Based on Past Earnings December 2nd 2021
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on CPS Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Growth For CPS Technologies?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like CPS Technologies' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 80% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it interesting that CPS Technologies is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From CPS Technologies' P/E?

With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for CPS Technologies looks quite average now. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of CPS Technologies revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for CPS Technologies that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.