Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Cognex Corporation (NASDAQ:CGNX)

NasdaqGS:CGNX
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Cognex Corporation's (NASDAQ:CGNX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.6x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.7x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Cognex

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CGNX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 29th 2024

How Cognex Has Been Performing

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, Cognex has been very sluggish. Perhaps the market is predicting a change in fortunes for the company and is expecting them to blow past the rest of the industry, elevating the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Cognex.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Cognex's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.6%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 4.0% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 9.7% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Cognex's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Cognex's P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our look into Cognex shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Cognex that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cognex is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.