Stock Analysis

Is B.O.S. Better Online Solutions (NASDAQ:BOSC) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqCM:BOSC
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that B.O.S. Better Online Solutions Ltd. (NASDAQ:BOSC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for B.O.S. Better Online Solutions

How Much Debt Does B.O.S. Better Online Solutions Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that B.O.S. Better Online Solutions had US$2.63m of debt in September 2020, down from US$3.20m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$669.0k, its net debt is less, at about US$1.96m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:BOSC Debt to Equity History March 18th 2021

How Strong Is B.O.S. Better Online Solutions' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that B.O.S. Better Online Solutions had liabilities of US$9.53m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.59m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$669.0k and US$10.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$758.0k more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded B.O.S. Better Online Solutions shares are worth a total of US$19.6m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While B.O.S. Better Online Solutions's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.2, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, B.O.S. Better Online Solutions's EBIT was down 52% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since B.O.S. Better Online Solutions will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, B.O.S. Better Online Solutions saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, B.O.S. Better Online Solutions's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its level of total liabilities is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that B.O.S. Better Online Solutions's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for B.O.S. Better Online Solutions (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqCM:BOSC

B.O.S. Better Online Solutions

Provides intelligent robotics, radio frequency identification (RFID), and supply chain solutions for enterprises in Israel, the Far East, India, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.