Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By AmpliTech Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMPG) Revenues Despite 31% Price Jump

NasdaqCM:AMPG
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AmpliTech Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPG) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that AmpliTech Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.8x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for AmpliTech Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:AMPG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 7th 2024

How AmpliTech Group Has Been Performing

With revenue that's retreating more than the industry's average of late, AmpliTech Group has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the industry. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AmpliTech Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For AmpliTech Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AmpliTech Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, a stark contrast to the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 125% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 2.9%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that AmpliTech Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does AmpliTech Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

AmpliTech Group's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Looking at AmpliTech Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for AmpliTech Group that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether AmpliTech Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.