Stock Analysis

Investors Give AmpliTech Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPG) Shares A 30% Hiding

NasdaqCM:AMPG
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, AmpliTech Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPG) shares are down a considerable 30% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 56% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, AmpliTech Group may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for AmpliTech Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:AMPG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 22nd 2024

How AmpliTech Group Has Been Performing

AmpliTech Group has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping the revenue slide doesn't get any worse if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on AmpliTech Group.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as AmpliTech Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 32% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 245% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 173% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.2% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's peculiar that AmpliTech Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From AmpliTech Group's P/S?

The southerly movements of AmpliTech Group's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To us, it seems AmpliTech Group currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for AmpliTech Group (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.