Aeva Technologies, Inc.

NasdaqGS:AEVA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$753.4m

Aeva Technologies Valuation

Is AEVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of AEVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: AEVA ($12.46) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($63.67)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: AEVA is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AEVA?

Key metric: As AEVA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AEVA. This is calculated by dividing AEVA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AEVA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio49.4x
SalesUS$15.15m
Market CapUS$753.40m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AEVA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AEVA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
EVLV Evolv Technologies Holdings
6.3x15.75%US$878.3m
AIOT PowerFleet
1.1x8.93%US$505.9m
TROO TROOPS
29.5xn/aUS$499.9m
OUST Ouster
7.9x27.57%US$1.1b
AEVA Aeva Technologies
49.4x52.34%US$753.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AEVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (49.4x) compared to the peer average (11.2x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AEVA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electronic Industry?

33 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SNX TD SYNNEX
0.2x3.90%US$13.03b
ARW Arrow Electronics
0.3x6.83%US$8.02b
AVT Avnet
0.2x5.83%US$5.51b
INGM Ingram Micro Holding
0.1x2.32%US$5.09b
AEVA 49.4xIndustry Avg. 2.8xNo. of Companies33PS02.44.87.29.612+
33 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AEVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (49.4x) compared to the US Electronic industry average (2.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AEVA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AEVA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio49.4x
Fair PS Ratio1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AEVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (49.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AEVA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.46
US$24.11
+93.50%
20.96%US$33.00US$18.55n/a5
Feb ’27US$12.77
US$24.11
+88.80%
20.96%US$33.00US$18.55n/a5
Jan ’27US$13.28
US$24.11
+81.55%
20.96%US$33.00US$18.55n/a5
Dec ’26US$10.32
US$24.11
+133.62%
20.96%US$33.00US$18.55n/a5
Nov ’26US$16.34
US$26.20
+60.34%
18.60%US$33.00US$19.00n/a5
Oct ’26US$14.95
US$26.20
+75.25%
18.60%US$33.00US$19.00n/a5
Sep ’26US$14.81
US$26.20
+76.97%
18.60%US$33.00US$19.00n/a5
Aug ’26US$15.85
US$24.60
+55.25%
26.04%US$33.00US$16.00n/a5
Jul ’26US$28.66
US$18.60
-35.10%
33.59%US$30.00US$11.00n/a5
Jun ’26US$18.27
US$16.00
-12.42%
16.30%US$18.00US$11.00n/a5
May ’26US$7.17
US$7.14
-0.36%
24.50%US$9.50US$5.22n/a5
Apr ’26US$7.26
US$6.54
-9.86%
23.05%US$9.50US$5.22n/a5
Mar ’26US$3.58
US$5.47
+52.72%
9.78%US$6.00US$4.87n/a4
Feb ’26US$4.24
US$5.47
+28.95%
9.78%US$6.00US$4.87US$12.774
Jan ’26US$4.75
US$5.47
+15.11%
9.78%US$6.00US$4.87US$13.284
Dec ’25US$4.60
US$5.47
+18.86%
9.78%US$6.00US$4.87US$10.324
Nov ’25US$3.94
US$5.44
+37.94%
16.74%US$7.00US$4.74US$16.344
Oct ’25US$3.07
US$5.44
+77.04%
16.74%US$7.00US$4.74US$14.954
Sep ’25US$3.30
US$5.44
+64.70%
16.74%US$7.00US$4.74US$14.814
Aug ’25US$3.26
US$11.06
+239.26%
73.37%US$25.00US$4.74US$15.854
Jul ’25US$2.49
US$11.06
+344.18%
73.37%US$25.00US$4.74US$28.664
Jun ’25US$3.23
US$11.06
+242.41%
73.37%US$25.00US$4.74US$18.274
May ’25US$3.07
US$11.90
+287.62%
65.20%US$25.00US$5.10US$7.174
Apr ’25US$4.14
US$11.90
+187.44%
65.20%US$25.00US$5.10US$7.264
Mar ’25US$5.15
US$11.83
+129.61%
66.18%US$25.00US$4.80US$3.584
Feb ’25US$4.13
US$10.96
+165.09%
65.79%US$25.00US$4.80US$4.245
US$24.11
Fair Value
48.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/23 22:38
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/23 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Aeva Technologies, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tristan GerraBaird
George GianarikasCanaccord Genuity
Richard ShannonCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC