Ouster Valuation

Is OUST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OUST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate OUST's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate OUST's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OUST?

Key metric: As OUST is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OUST. This is calculated by dividing OUST's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OUST's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.7x
SalesUS$105.45m
Market CapUS$495.72m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OUST's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OUST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.5x
RCAT Red Cat Holdings
42.8x87.2%US$704.6m
EVLV Evolv Technologies Holdings
7.1x23.0%US$631.8m
MVIS MicroVision
42.7x51.1%US$348.2m
SMRT SmartRent
1.4x7.4%US$283.1m
OUST Ouster
4.7x31.8%US$495.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OUST is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (23.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OUST's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electronic Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SNX TD SYNNEX
0.2x5.4%US$12.06b
ARW Arrow Electronics
0.2x3.4%US$6.13b
INGM Ingram Micro Holding
0.1x3.5%US$5.48b
AVT Avnet
0.2x3.9%US$4.47b
OUST 4.7xIndustry Avg. 2.2xNo. of Companies30PS0246810+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OUST is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x) compared to the US Electronic industry average (2.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OUST's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OUST PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.7x
Fair PS Ratio2.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: OUST is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OUST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.96
US$13.00
+30.5%
21.1%US$17.00US$10.00n/a4
Jan ’26US$12.22
US$13.00
+6.4%
21.1%US$17.00US$10.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$9.88
US$12.67
+28.2%
24.4%US$17.00US$10.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$7.00
US$13.33
+90.5%
19.7%US$17.00US$11.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$6.06
US$13.25
+118.6%
17.2%US$17.00US$11.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$7.09
US$12.25
+72.8%
19.1%US$17.00US$10.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$12.44
US$13.42
+7.9%
20.7%US$17.00US$10.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$9.65
US$13.42
+39.0%
20.7%US$17.00US$10.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$11.70
US$13.42
+14.7%
20.7%US$17.00US$10.00n/a6
May ’25US$9.30
US$9.92
+6.6%
13.8%US$12.00US$8.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$9.86
US$9.50
-3.7%
20.8%US$12.00US$6.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$5.56
US$9.33
+67.9%
21.1%US$12.00US$6.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$4.98
US$8.71
+75.0%
27.2%US$12.00US$5.00US$9.967
Jan ’25US$7.67
US$8.71
+13.6%
27.2%US$12.00US$5.00US$12.227
Dec ’24US$5.87
US$8.71
+48.5%
27.2%US$12.00US$5.00US$9.887
Nov ’24US$3.78
US$9.86
+160.8%
36.8%US$17.50US$5.00US$7.007
Oct ’24US$5.04
US$9.86
+95.6%
36.8%US$17.50US$5.00US$6.067
Sep ’24US$5.57
US$9.86
+77.0%
36.8%US$17.50US$5.00US$7.097
Aug ’24US$6.13
US$9.23
+50.5%
41.4%US$17.50US$5.00US$12.447
Jul ’24US$4.94
US$9.94
+101.3%
43.6%US$17.50US$5.00US$9.657
Jun ’24US$6.97
US$10.50
+50.6%
38.5%US$17.50US$5.00US$11.707
May ’24US$3.50
US$17.92
+411.9%
57.2%US$40.00US$10.00US$9.306
Apr ’24US$8.37
US$19.64
+134.8%
52.9%US$40.00US$10.00US$9.867
Mar ’24US$10.90
US$31.00
+184.4%
45.8%US$50.00US$15.00US$5.567
Feb ’24US$14.80
US$31.00
+109.5%
45.8%US$50.00US$15.00US$4.987
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
US$13.00
Fair Value
23.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/02 09:16
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ouster, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andres Sheppard-SlingerCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Itay MichaeliCitigroup Inc
Richard ShannonCraig-Hallum Capital Group LLC