Aeva Technologies Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Aeva Technologies is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 24.7% and 55.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 28.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -432% in 3 years.
Key information
24.7%
Earnings growth rate
28.86%
EPS growth rate
| Electronic earnings growth | 26.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 55.3% |
| Future return on equity | -431.96% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 24 Aug 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Sep 05
AEVA: Optical Connectivity And LiDAR Contracts Will Shape The Next Upswing
Analysts now frame Aeva Technologies around a lower $20 price target compared with the previous $26. This reflects a view that Goldman's Neutral initiation and expectations for lidar driven transportation revenue are largely captured in the stock's multiple, even as newer opportunities such as optical connectivity into AI data centers remain part of the long term story.
Narrative Update • Aug 22
AEVA: Optical Connectivity Expansion Into AI Data Centers Will Drive Repricing
Analysts lifted their average price target on Aeva Technologies to $32.50 from $24.11, citing updated fair value assumptions and recent commentary around the launch of Aeva's Optical Connectivity business for AI data center and networking infrastructure as key factors behind the shift. What’s in the News for Aeva Technologies Aeva Technologies reported Q2 2026 results with 11% year over year revenue growth and a 17.3% share price move on the day, according to recent earnings coverage.Seeking Alpha • Aug 10
Aeva Technologies: More Big Plans For The Future
Summary Aeva Technologies announced a potential deal with a major hyperscaler JDA and new optical connectivity product, but material revenues remain years away. AEVA's Q2 revenues were stagnant at $6.1 million, with no near-term sales ramp despite a robust pipeline. Large deals with Daimler Truck and a hyperscaler could drive significant revenue, but production ramps are not expected until 2027–2028. I remain Neutral on AEVA, favoring entry on pullbacks due to ongoing execution risk and potential liquidity concerns before revenue inflection. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Aug 08
AEVA: Optical Connectivity Expansion And LiDAR Wins Will Define The Next Phase
Analysts have lifted their price target on Aeva Technologies to $26 from $24, citing the newly announced Optical Connectivity business as a key driver of their updated view. What’s in the News for Aeva Technologies Aeva Technologies reported Q2 2026 results that beat earnings expectations, with revenue 11% higher year over year and a loss that was narrower than expected.Analysis Article • Jun 19
Aeva Technologies (AEVA) Stock Looks Fully Valued After Bendix Truck Safety Deal
Aeva Technologies (AEVA) stock is in focus after the company agreed to supply its 4D LiDAR sensors and perception software to Bendix for future active safety and collision mitigation systems in Class 8 trucks. See our latest analysis for Aeva Technologies. The Bendix agreement and recent CityOS deployment in Fargo come as Aeva Technologies trades at US$24.39, with a 30-day share price return of 28.37% and a 90-day share price return of 72.86%. The 1-year total shareholder return declined...Seeking Alpha • Mar 24
Aeva Technologies: More Promises, Limited Results For Now
Summary Aeva Technologies, Inc. soared after quarterly results and a major contract win, despite minimal revenue guidance and limited details on the new top 10 OEM customer. The Lidar company plans to scale manufacturing to 100K sensor units by year-end, indicating significant growth potential in 2026. The CEO highlighted the massive opportunity across multiple vehicle models, potentially matching the $1 billion-plus Daimler Truck program. AEVA stock is relatively cheap with a market cap of only $250 million and individual contract deals at multiples of this valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 06
Mobileye Abandons FMCW LiDAR, What It Means For Aeva
Summary Mobileye discontinues in-house FMCW LiDAR development, saving $55M annually, focusing on EyeQ6-based vision, imaging radar, and third-party ToF LiDAR for cost efficiency. Critics view the move as a setback for LiDAR, but Mobileye maintains its True Redundancy approach, integrating cameras, imaging radar, and third-party LiDAR. FMCW LiDAR's high costs and limited market adoption contrast with scalable, cost-effective ToF LiDAR, raising doubts about Aeva's market potential and financial sustainability. Aeva faces financial challenges, needing $240M to bridge the gap to profitability by 2028, with uncertainties in FMCW LiDAR's advantages over ToF technology. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 24
Aeva Technologies: Race Against Time
Summary Aeva Technologies announced Lidar deals but lacks financial results, causing concern about a weak balance sheet and potential shareholder dilution. The Lidar sector faces skepticism as companies announce deals with auto OEMs without ever generating significant revenues, while Elon Musk promotes a Lidar-free autonomous service. The stock has a limited market cap for the potential in Lidar, but the company has a lack of cash to avoid shareholder dilution. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 11
Aeva's Daimler Deal Amidst Revenue Reductions And Financial Challenges
Summary Aeva announces a win with Torc and Daimler Truck to supply its 4D LiDAR technology for autonomous trucks. The market reaction, while positive to the win, will reflect the challenges faced by other companies in turning production wins into revenue. Aeva's valuation may become untenable as it may take many years to realize due to the slow adoption of Level 4 autonomous trucks and the company's revenue expectations for the next three years. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 11
Aeva Technologies: On A Surprising Roll
Summary Aeva Technologies, Inc. announcing a big deal to integrate their Lidar sensors with Daimler Truck's autonomous trucks. The media has listed the deal at $1 billion, but the company is several years away from meaningful production ramps, and Aeva is still mostly a pre-revenue company. The stock has more upside after breaking back above $1, but Aeva Technologies, Inc. has had to raise additional capital to fund ongoing losses. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 12
We Think Shareholders May Want To Consider A Review Of Aeva Technologies, Inc.'s (NYSE:AEVA) CEO Compensation Package
Key Insights Aeva Technologies will host its Annual General Meeting on 18th of December Salary of US$550.0k is part of...Analysis Article • Oct 11
Is Aeva Technologies (NYSE:AEVA) In A Good Position To Invest In Growth?
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although...Seeking Alpha • Sep 07
Aeva Technologies: Strong Potential But Rich Valuation
Summary Aeva Technologies is expected to start generating significant revenues in 2024, but its current valuation is high at nearly 10x price-to-sales ratio. AEVA specializes in 4D LiDAR-on-chips technology, catering to industries such as automotive, industrial automation, and security. The company is working on increasing production and expanding into new markets, but it faces risks such as the need for additional capital and competition. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 230 | -111 | -73 | -68 | 5 |
| 12/31/2027 | 73 | -149 | -109 | -104 | 5 |
| 12/31/2026 | 32 | -173 | -116 | -112 | 5 |
| 6/30/2026 | 22 | -32 | -117 | -111 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 21 | -146 | -117 | -110 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 18 | -145 | -120 | -115 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 15 | -156 | -119 | -114 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 14 | -301 | -112 | -107 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 10 | -152 | -111 | -107 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 9 | -152 | -112 | -107 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 8 | -161 | -119 | -113 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 7 | -157 | -122 | -116 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 5 | -149 | -120 | -114 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 4 | -149 | -125 | -119 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3 | -147 | -123 | -118 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3 | -150 | -121 | -115 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 4 | -149 | -127 | -119 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4 | -147 | -117 | -110 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 7 | -136 | -120 | -108 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 9 | -126 | -117 | -106 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 10 | -116 | -103 | -94 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 9 | -102 | -90 | -82 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 7 | -79 | -66 | -64 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 6 | -57 | -47 | -45 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5 | -38 | -32 | -30 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 5 | -26 | -22 | -21 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 5 | -22 | -20 | -19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1 | -20 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 0 | -11 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AEVA is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: AEVA is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: AEVA is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AEVA's revenue (55.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AEVA's revenue (55.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AEVA is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/09/13 05:33 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/09/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Aeva Technologies, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Tristan Gerra | Baird |
| George Gianarikas | Canaccord Genuity |
| Richard Shannon | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |