ADTRAN Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
ADTRAN Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 102.6% and 8.4% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 103.1% per annum.
Key information
102.6%
Earnings growth rate
103.06%
EPS growth rate
| Communications earnings growth | 23.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.4% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 09
ADTN: Margin Execution And Balance Sheet Repair Will Drive FY25 Recovery Confidence
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for ADTRAN Holdings from $16.17 to $19.50, citing updated revenue growth and discount rate assumptions, a sharply higher future P/E, and recent price target increases following what they describe as strong results and improved confidence in the company’s balance sheet and outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research on ADTRAN Holdings has recently focused on higher price targets, updated estimates and a more constructive view on the company’s recovery path after what some describe as a strong Q4 report.Analysis Article • May 08
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADTN) Price Target To US$19.50
It's been a sad week for ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ADTN ), who've watched their investment drop 18% to US$14.55 in...Narrative Update • Apr 24
ADTN: Margin Execution And Balance Sheet Improvement Will Shape Recovery Outlook
Analysts have lifted their blended 12 month price target for ADTRAN Holdings from $14.00 to about $16.17, citing recent target increases from several firms, a stronger profit margin outlook, and updated views on the company's future P/E and balance sheet. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates point to a generally constructive stance on ADTRAN Holdings, with analysts focusing on margin execution, balance sheet health, and how those factors could support valuation over the next few years.
Narrative Update • Apr 10
ADTN: Margin Discipline And FY25 Recovery Plans Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on ADTRAN Holdings by $2 to $18, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a lower discount rate following recent research that reflects increased confidence in the company’s financial outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a cluster of higher price targets on ADTRAN Holdings, reflecting updated views on the company’s execution and medium term potential.Narrative Update • Mar 27
ADTN: Margin Confidence And Strong Q4 Set Stage For Balanced Recovery
Analysts have lifted the price target on ADTRAN Holdings to $14, citing a stronger recent earnings report, improved confidence in operating margins, and a balance sheet they view as less concerning. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around a similar conclusion: the latest Q4 report has given bullish analysts enough confidence to lift their price targets on ADTRAN Holdings to $14 and keep positive ratings in place.Narrative Update • Mar 12
ADTN: Margin Expansion And Strong Q4 Update Will Drive Repricing
ADTRAN Holdings' analyst price target has moved from $12 to $14, with analysts pointing to a strong Q4 update, improved confidence in margin expansion, and a less concerning balance sheet as key drivers behind the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates have centered on Adtran's Q4 performance, expectations for margin execution, and the perceived health of the balance sheet.Narrative Update • Feb 26
ADTN: Fiber Network Wins And 2025 Outlook Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts now hold the price target for ADTRAN Holdings at $16.00, with the slight adjustment tied to updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News ADTRAN Holdings updated its earnings guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, with preliminary revenue expected between $290.0 million and $293.0 million, compared with a prior range of $275.0 million to $285.0 million.Narrative Update • Feb 11
ADTN: Fiber Expansion Wins And AI Services Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their price target for ADTRAN Holdings at $16.00. Small adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E are being used to refine their valuation rather than indicate a major change in conviction.Narrative Update • Jan 28
ADTN: Fiber Contracts And AI Service Gains Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on ADTRAN Holdings slightly, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Together these factors point to a refined view of the company’s valuation rather than a major reset.Narrative Update • Jan 12
ADTN: Fiber Expansion And AI-Based Services Will Support Stronger Future Demand
Analysts have trimmed their price target on ADTRAN Holdings to US$16.00. The update reflects slightly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations.Narrative Update • Dec 14
ADTN: Broadband Cycle Recovery Will Drive Stronger Demand Across Diverse Customer Base
Analysts have raised their price target on ADTRAN Holdings from $15.00 to $16.00, citing a recovering demand environment and the company’s strong positioning in broadband access and optical equipment. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that ADTRAN is emerging as a key beneficiary of the improving broadband investment cycle, with its solutions aligned to multi-year upgrades in access and optical networks.Seeking Alpha • Dec 11
Adtran: High Debt And Growing Receivables Continuing To Weigh On Stock (Technical Analysis)
Summary Adtran Holdings, Inc. is maintained at hold due to persistent negative earnings and a leveraged balance sheet. Despite double-digit top-line growth across all segments in Q3 this year, ADTN's profitability remains weak, and receivables are rising. Technical analysis signals a long-term bearish trend, with significant resistance near $10 and weak buying volume trends. Minimal near-term upside is expected as debt management overshadows operational improvements and market momentum. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 07
The ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADTN) Third-Quarter Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Shareholders in ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ADTN ) had a terrible week, as shares crashed 24% to US$8.03 in the week...Analysis Article • Aug 14
Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADTN)
NasdaqGS:ADTN 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore ADTRAN Holdings's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analysis Article • May 11
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADTN) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$12.40 Price Target
Shareholders might have noticed that ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ADTN ) filed its quarterly result this time last...Analysis Article • May 08
Should Shareholders Reconsider ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ADTN) CEO Compensation Package?
Key Insights ADTRAN Holdings' Annual General Meeting to take place on 14th of May Salary of US$709.6k is part of CEO...Analysis Article • Apr 04
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADTN) Stock's 27% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ADTN ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period...
New Narrative • Mar 26
Optical Networking And Wi-Fi 7 Solutions Will Advance US Networks
Expansion in optical networking and aggregation solutions is driving revenue growth through new customer acquisitions and fiber network upgrades.Analysis Article • Mar 07
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADTN) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results
It's been a sad week for ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ADTN ), who've watched their investment drop 10% to US$9.51 in...Analysis Article • Feb 23
Is ADTRAN Holdings (NASDAQ:ADTN) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Jan 18
Subdued Growth No Barrier To ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADTN) With Shares Advancing 25%
Despite an already strong run, ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ADTN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25...Analysis Article • Nov 08
After Leaping 30% ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADTN) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ADTN ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month...Analysis Article • Sep 18
ADTRAN Holdings (NASDAQ:ADTN) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Aug 09
Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADTN) After Its Latest Results
Shareholders in ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ADTN ) had a terrible week, as shares crashed 24% to US$4.90 in the week...Seeking Alpha • Jul 23
Adtran: Well Off April Lows, But Financials Need To Gain More Traction
Summary ADTRAN Holdings stock experienced a significant drop in value over the past 12 months, recovering slightly after a normalized EPS and revenue beat in Q1. The company registered a sizable impairment charge of $293 million in Q1, impacting its balance sheet and valuation metrics. Despite some positive trends in Q1, ADTN's struggling margins and high inventory levels pose challenges for future growth and performance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jul 20
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ADTN) Revenues Despite 25% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ADTN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,430 | 26 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,292 | 9 | 92 | 127 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,185 | -17 | 116 | 107 | 8 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,122 | -31 | 33 | 99 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,084 | -42 | 61 | 130 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,035 | -77 | 28 | 89 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 983 | -98 | 56 | 121 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 944 | -137 | 40 | 109 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 923 | -457 | 38 | 104 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 905 | -520 | 25 | 85 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 950 | -568 | -5 | 48 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,051 | -557 | -37 | 12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,149 | -269 | -89 | -43 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,282 | -118 | -71 | -31 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,350 | -82 | -108 | -74 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,195 | -41 | -93 | -69 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 1,026 | -2 | -61 | -44 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 821 | -45 | -81 | -69 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 619 | -14 | -28 | -21 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 590 | -11 | -9 | -3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 563 | -9 | -3 | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 539 | 2 | 13 | 18 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 534 | 18 | -5 | 0 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 520 | 13 | -12 | -6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 507 | 2 | -23 | -17 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 492 | -15 | -26 | -18 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 473 | -67 | -20 | -12 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 501 | -64 | -21 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 530 | -53 | N/A | -2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 554 | -50 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 581 | 4 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 552 | -8 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 529 | -19 | N/A | 55 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 516 | -22 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 561 | -14 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 617 | 6 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 667 | 24 | N/A | -42 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 703 | 43 | N/A | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 687 | 39 | N/A | 42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 665 | 37 | N/A | 35 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 637 | 35 | N/A | 42 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 613 | 33 | N/A | 23 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 602 | 28 | N/A | 18 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 599 | 20 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 600 | 19 | N/A | 19 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 605 | 22 | N/A | 38 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 610 | 26 | N/A | 54 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: ADTN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: ADTN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: ADTN is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: ADTN's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: ADTN's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if ADTN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/18 17:27 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. is covered by 28 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| James Kelleher | Argus Research Company |
| Amir Rozwadowski | Barclays |
| Eric Ghernati | BofA Global Research |