freee K.K Valuation

Is FREK.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FREK.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FREK.F ($16.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($30.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FREK.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FREK.F?

Key metric: As FREK.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FREK.F. This is calculated by dividing FREK.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FREK.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.7x
SalesJP¥27.09b
Market CapJP¥155.14b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FREK.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FREK.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.7x
WEAV Weave Communications
5.2x13.9%US$1.0b
SMWB Similarweb
4.3x13.8%US$1.0b
OLO Olo
4.4x15.8%US$1.2b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.8x15.8%US$704.9m
FREK.F freee K.K
5.7x18.3%US$155.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FREK.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (3.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FREK.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

80 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.12b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.8x15.8%US$704.88m
0.6x1.1%US$397.21m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$390.47m
FREK.F 5.7xIndustry Avg. 5.3xNo. of Companies80PS048121620+
80 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FREK.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.7x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FREK.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FREK.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.7x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FREK.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FREK.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$16.50
US$18.60
+12.8%
18.2%US$23.35US$12.97n/a9
Nov ’25US$18.00
US$18.76
+4.2%
17.8%US$22.99US$13.14n/a9
Oct ’25US$16.79
US$19.48
+16.0%
18.7%US$24.43US$13.96n/a10
Sep ’25US$16.65
US$20.87
+25.4%
23.8%US$31.95US$13.89n/a10
Aug ’25US$17.15
US$19.18
+11.8%
26.3%US$28.60US$12.43n/a10
Jul ’25US$15.91
US$19.18
+20.5%
26.3%US$28.60US$12.43n/a10
Jun ’25US$15.82
US$22.24
+40.6%
26.1%US$30.55US$12.73n/a9
May ’25US$17.85
US$22.99
+28.8%
31.4%US$32.20US$7.38n/a9
Apr ’25US$24.37
US$22.99
-5.7%
31.4%US$32.20US$7.38n/a9
Mar ’25US$25.70
US$19.16
-25.5%
22.7%US$23.01US$7.34n/a9
Feb ’25n/a
US$20.18
0%
24.3%US$24.45US$7.47n/a9
Jan ’25n/a
US$20.35
0%
24.6%US$25.43US$7.56n/a9
Dec ’24n/a
US$20.26
0%
23.3%US$25.12US$7.47n/a10
Nov ’24n/a
US$20.44
0%
24.2%US$26.81US$7.37US$18.0011
Oct ’24n/a
US$20.75
0%
24.0%US$26.49US$7.47US$16.7911
Sep ’24n/a
US$21.45
0%
23.9%US$26.68US$7.52US$16.6511
Aug ’24US$19.60
US$23.60
+20.4%
23.7%US$30.33US$9.17US$17.1511
Jul ’24n/a
US$23.48
0%
24.0%US$29.77US$9.00US$15.9111
Jun ’24n/a
US$24.07
0%
24.1%US$30.86US$9.33US$15.8211
May ’24n/a
US$23.74
0%
27.9%US$31.14US$6.84US$17.8510
Apr ’24n/a
US$23.00
0%
26.9%US$30.11US$6.61US$24.3711
Mar ’24n/a
US$23.00
0%
26.9%US$30.11US$6.61US$25.7011
Feb ’24US$25.92
US$22.78
-12.1%
25.9%US$30.49US$6.69n/a11
Jan ’24n/a
US$22.78
0%
25.9%US$30.49US$6.69n/a11
Dec ’23n/a
US$22.37
0%
26.3%US$30.30US$6.65n/a11
Nov ’23n/a
US$20.13
0%
24.7%US$28.12US$6.17n/a12

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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