Stock Analysis

Tyler Technologies (TYL) Is Down 8.0% After Strong Results and Upbeat 2025 Guidance Is Released

  • Tyler Technologies recently reported robust third-quarter results, with revenues rising to US$595.88 million and net income also climbing compared to a year earlier, and issued full-year 2025 guidance anticipating total revenues between US$2.34 billion and US$2.36 billion.
  • In addition to strong operational performance, Tyler Technologies completed a share repurchase tranche, further signaling management’s confidence in the company’s prospects.
  • We'll now examine how Tyler’s upbeat 2025 revenue outlook shapes its investment narrative and future growth expectations.

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Tyler Technologies Investment Narrative Recap

For those considering Tyler Technologies, the investment thesis centers on the continuing digital transformation in government IT and the company's ability to secure large, recurring SaaS contracts. Tyler’s recently announced 2025 revenue guidance implying near 10% growth, together with another quarter of solid earnings, may reinforce confidence in near-term deal flow but does not materially reduce exposure to fluctuations in public sector budgets, which remain the key swing factor for performance. Among recent developments, the third-quarter earnings announcement stands out as directly tied to the company’s updated guidance. Revenue and net income increases demonstrate ongoing strength in Tyler’s core segments, yet the result also underscores that while major contracts continue to close, visibility on future sales remains somewhat unpredictable due to customer and deal-size concentration. However, if government budget pressures accelerate, investors need to consider...

Read the full narrative on Tyler Technologies (it's free!)

Tyler Technologies' outlook anticipates $2.9 billion in revenue and $480.4 million in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes a 9.4% annual revenue growth rate and a $173.6 million increase in earnings from the current level of $306.8 million.

Uncover how Tyler Technologies' forecasts yield a $664.06 fair value, a 41% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TYL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
TYL Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St Community members have shared four fair value estimates for Tyler Technologies, with numbers spanning from US$398.50 to US$664.06 per share. While these opinions differ widely, the most important catalyst remains Tyler’s success in converting local governments to its cloud offerings which could drive future revenue consistency.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Tyler Technologies - why the stock might be worth 15% less than the current price!

Build Your Own Tyler Technologies Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Tyler Technologies research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Tyler Technologies research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Tyler Technologies' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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