Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Semrush Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:SEMR) 31% Share Price Surge

NYSE:SEMR
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The Semrush Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:SEMR) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 31%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 35%.

Following the firm bounce in price, Semrush Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.3x and even P/S below 1.7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Semrush Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:SEMR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 13th 2023

How Has Semrush Holdings Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Semrush Holdings has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Semrush Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Semrush Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 22%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 135% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 21% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 15%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Semrush Holdings is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does Semrush Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Semrush Holdings shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our look into Semrush Holdings shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Semrush Holdings with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.