Riskified Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Riskified is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 98.1% and 8.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 100% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.4% in 3 years.
Key information
98.1%
Earnings growth rate
100.02%
EPS growth rate
| Software earnings growth | 18.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.8% |
| Future return on equity | 12.45% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 27 Mar 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
RSKD: Strengthening Pipeline And Platform Execution Will Support Future Re Rating
Analyst price targets on Riskified have eased slightly, with recent cuts of $0.50 to $5 and $1 to $7. These moves are framed against ongoing commentary about clearer line of sight into growth acceleration, a stronger new business pipeline, and improved platform technical performance.Riskfield: The Growth Story Is Even Better Today
Apr 14RSKD: Stronger Pipeline And Platform Execution Will Drive Future Re Rating
Analysts have trimmed Riskified's average price target by $1 to $7. This reflects updated views on future growth and profitability while still pointing to underlying confidence in the company’s sales pipeline and platform performance.RSKD: I Expect Pipeline Strength And Platform Performance Will Drive Re Rating
Analysts have lowered their average price target on Riskified by $0.50 to $7.00, citing recent target reductions to $5.00 and $7.00, as well as views that the company may have room for further growth acceleration, a stronger new business pipeline, and improved platform performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Riskified highlights mixed target revisions but also points to areas where bullish analysts still see upside potential tied to execution, growth visibility, and platform improvements.RSKD: I Expect Stronger Pipeline And Platform Performance Will Support Upside
Narrative Update on Riskified The consensus analyst price target for Riskified has shifted from $8 to $7, as analysts factor in updated views on growth, margins, discount rates, and future P/E, while still highlighting what they see as clearer visibility into growth acceleration, a stronger new business pipeline, and better technical performance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming price targets to reflect updated assumptions on growth, margins, discount rates, and future P/E, yet they still point to what they see as an improving fundamental story behind the stock.Little Excitement Around Riskified Ltd.'s (NYSE:RSKD) Revenues As Shares Take 26% Pounding
Aug 21
Expanding Multiproduct Platform Will Open Money Transfer And Food Verticals
Analysts have modestly cut Riskified's price target to $5.82 amid concerns over softer near-term revenue guidance and persistent same-store sale pressure, despite solid quarterly results and bullish views on long-term pipeline and product adoption. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize positive new business trends, strong adoption of non-chargeback guarantee offerings, and a healthy sales pipeline supporting long-term growth.Riskified Ltd.: Free Cash Flow And Balance Sheet Are The Best Part Of The Story
Mar 28
Expanding Multiproduct Platform Will Open Money Transfer And Food Verticals
Expanding the multiproduct platform into new verticals and enhancing product capabilities aims to increase market share and drive revenue growth.Are Investors Undervaluing Riskified Ltd. (NYSE:RSKD) By 41%?
Feb 11Riskified: I Am Still Confident In The Growth Outlook
Nov 26Riskified: A Compelling Valuation Emerges Following The Recent Sell-Off (Rating Upgrade)
Sep 28Riskified Ltd.'s (NYSE:RSKD) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry
Aug 05Riskified: Growth Slowdown Is A Concern Despite Margin Improvements
Jul 12Riskified's Top-Line Growth Sags As Operating Breakeven Approaches
Apr 26We're Not Worried About Riskified's (NYSE:RSKD) Cash Burn
Jan 30Riskified: Strong Growth Outlook, Yet Negative Margins Remain A Concern
Dec 24Benign Growth For Riskified Ltd. (NYSE:RSKD) Underpins Its Share Price
Dec 08Should You Investigate Riskified Ltd. (NYSE:RSKD) At US$4.18?
Oct 06Riskified To Buy Back Shares But Operating Losses Remain Heavy
Sep 29Riskified Ltd.'s (NYSE:RSKD) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 88% Above Its Share Price
Sep 07Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 447 | 31 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 417 | 11 | 58 | 57 | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 379 | -9 | 41 | 43 | 6 |
| 12/31/2025 | 345 | -28 | 33 | 34 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 339 | -37 | 33 | 34 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 336 | -39 | 33 | 34 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 333 | -37 | 32 | 33 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 328 | -35 | 39 | 40 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 318 | -34 | 36 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 311 | -45 | 25 | 27 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 305 | -53 | 16 | 18 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 298 | -59 | 6 | 7 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 293 | -67 | -8 | -4 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 284 | -72 | -16 | -12 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 271 | -89 | -24 | -19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 261 | -105 | -34 | -26 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 252 | -121 | -50 | -36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 241 | -181 | -61 | -45 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 237 | -168 | -47 | -31 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 229 | -179 | -34 | -20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 216 | -147 | -10 | -5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 206 | -70 | 7 | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 188 | -57 | -2 | 0 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 170 | -11 | -6 | -3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 131 | -14 | 1 | 4 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: RSKD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.4%).
Earnings vs Market: RSKD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: RSKD is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: RSKD's revenue (8.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: RSKD's revenue (8.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: RSKD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/04/29 11:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/29 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Riskified Ltd. is covered by 8 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ramsey El-Assal | Barclays |
| Clark Wright | D.A. Davidson & Co. |
| William Nance | Goldman Sachs |