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Olo Inc. (NYSE:OLO) Shares Fly 31% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Olo Inc. (NYSE:OLO) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 32%.
Although its price has surged higher, Olo's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5.1x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Olo
How Olo Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for Olo as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Olo will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Olo's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 26% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 94% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 25% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Olo's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What Does Olo's P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Olo's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Olo's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Olo (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Olo's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:OLO
Olo
Operates an open SaaS platform for restaurants in the United States.