Stock Analysis

Kyndryl Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:KD) Shares Bounce 27% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

NYSE:KD
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Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:KD) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 91%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Kyndryl Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the IT industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Kyndryl Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:KD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 11th 2024

How Has Kyndryl Holdings Performed Recently?

Kyndryl Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Kyndryl Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Kyndryl Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.1% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 20% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.7% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Kyndryl Holdings' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Kyndryl Holdings' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Kyndryl Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Kyndryl Holdings with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kyndryl Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.