Dynatrace Valuation

Is DT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DT ($45.79) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($59.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue9.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA77.3x
PEG Ratio3.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average118.7x
DOCU DocuSign
165.5x27.8%US$12.2b
MANH Manhattan Associates
67.7x13.3%US$13.0b
ESTC Elastic
189.9x-29.2%US$10.7b
BSY Bentley Systems
51.7x5.4%US$16.9b
DT Dynatrace
68.8x18.9%US$13.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.8x) compared to the peer average (118.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.8x) compared to the US Software industry average (42.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio68.8x
Fair PE Ratio40.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (68.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$45.79
US$61.91
+35.2%
9.1%US$75.00US$50.00n/a29
Apr ’25US$45.74
US$63.12
+38.0%
8.7%US$75.00US$50.00n/a31
Mar ’25US$49.05
US$63.63
+29.7%
8.6%US$75.00US$50.00n/a31
Feb ’25US$58.30
US$59.83
+2.6%
10.7%US$70.00US$44.00n/a29
Jan ’25US$54.69
US$56.86
+4.0%
10.9%US$65.00US$38.00n/a28
Dec ’24US$54.82
US$55.70
+1.6%
10.5%US$65.00US$38.00n/a27
Nov ’24US$44.40
US$55.56
+25.1%
11.4%US$65.00US$38.00n/a27
Oct ’24US$46.73
US$55.62
+19.0%
10.7%US$65.00US$38.00n/a26
Sep ’24US$48.19
US$55.27
+14.7%
11.5%US$65.00US$38.00n/a26
Aug ’24US$55.19
US$54.36
-1.5%
11.9%US$65.00US$38.00n/a25
Jul ’24US$51.47
US$52.08
+1.2%
10.2%US$60.00US$38.00n/a25
Jun ’24US$51.64
US$52.08
+0.9%
10.3%US$60.00US$38.00n/a24
May ’24US$42.39
US$47.92
+13.0%
9.8%US$55.00US$38.00US$45.5824
Apr ’24US$42.30
US$48.00
+13.5%
9.9%US$55.00US$38.00US$45.7424
Mar ’24US$42.19
US$47.79
+13.3%
10.9%US$55.00US$38.00US$49.0523
Feb ’24US$44.54
US$45.66
+2.5%
13.6%US$55.00US$35.00US$58.3023
Jan ’24US$38.30
US$42.66
+11.4%
11.9%US$54.00US$35.00US$54.6923
Dec ’23US$39.41
US$43.01
+9.1%
11.5%US$54.00US$35.00US$54.8222
Nov ’23US$34.17
US$47.34
+38.6%
13.1%US$61.00US$38.00US$44.4021
Oct ’23US$34.81
US$49.22
+41.4%
12.5%US$62.00US$38.00US$46.7319
Sep ’23US$36.58
US$50.63
+38.4%
10.3%US$62.00US$40.00US$48.1916
Aug ’23US$37.49
US$48.80
+30.2%
16.4%US$62.00US$35.00US$55.1915
Jul ’23US$41.01
US$49.41
+20.5%
15.3%US$62.00US$35.00US$51.4717
Jun ’23US$38.87
US$49.41
+27.1%
15.3%US$62.00US$35.00US$51.6417
May ’23US$38.36
US$62.33
+62.5%
14.2%US$80.00US$46.00US$42.3918

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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