BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:BBAI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$548.8m

BigBear.ai Holdings Valuation

Is BBAI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BBAI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BBAI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate BBAI's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BBAI?

Key metric: As BBAI is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BBAI. This is calculated by dividing BBAI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BBAI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4x
SalesUS$154.97m
Market CapUS$548.78m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BBAI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BBAI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.2x
UIS Unisys
0.3x3.4%US$541.0m
HCKT Hackett Group
2.8x5.9%US$846.6m
PFSW PFSweb
0.8xn/aUS$170.5m
III Information Services Group
0.7x3.7%US$163.7m
BBAI BigBear.ai Holdings
4x17.3%US$548.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BBAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BBAI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US IT Industry?

27 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KD Kyndryl Holdings
0.5x1.6%US$7.55b
DXC DXC Technology
0.3x-1.9%US$3.95b
RXT Rackspace Technology
0.2x0.7%US$541.61m
UIS Unisys
0.3x3.4%US$541.03m
BBAI 4.0xIndustry Avg. 2.0xNo. of Companies27PS02.44.87.29.612+
27 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BBAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the US IT industry average (2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BBAI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BBAI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4x
Fair PS Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BBAI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BBAI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.45
US$2.33
-4.8%
26.7%US$3.00US$1.50n/a3
Nov ’25US$1.58
US$2.63
+66.1%
28.2%US$3.50US$1.50n/a4
Oct ’25US$1.38
US$3.00
+117.4%
13.6%US$3.50US$2.50n/a3
Sep ’25US$1.59
US$3.00
+88.7%
13.6%US$3.50US$2.50n/a3
Aug ’25US$1.40
US$4.17
+197.6%
15.0%US$5.00US$3.50n/a3
Jul ’25US$1.46
US$3.63
+148.3%
29.9%US$5.00US$2.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$1.50
US$3.63
+141.7%
29.9%US$5.00US$2.00n/a4
May ’25US$1.72
US$3.75
+118.0%
30.6%US$5.00US$2.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$1.96
US$4.00
+104.1%
19.8%US$5.00US$3.00n/a4
Mar ’25US$3.46
US$3.38
-2.5%
28.4%US$4.50US$2.00n/a4
Feb ’25US$1.65
US$3.38
+104.5%
28.4%US$4.50US$2.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$2.14
US$3.50
+63.6%
30.9%US$4.50US$2.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$1.80
US$3.50
+94.4%
30.9%US$4.50US$2.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$1.19
US$3.67
+208.1%
34.0%US$5.00US$2.00US$1.583
Oct ’24US$1.51
US$4.50
+198.0%
11.1%US$5.00US$4.00US$1.382
Sep ’24US$1.72
US$4.50
+161.6%
11.1%US$5.00US$4.00US$1.592
Nov ’23US$1.26
US$9.75
+673.8%
28.2%US$12.50US$7.00US$1.192

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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