Stock Analysis

How Leadership Changes and Rising Losses at C3.ai (AI) Have Changed Its Investment Story

  • C3.ai experienced a challenging quarter with declining revenue and rising losses, while its founder and former CEO, Thomas Siebel, stepped down for health reasons and was succeeded by Stephen Ehikian, whose background includes leading companies acquired by Salesforce.
  • This leadership change comes at a time when the enterprise AI sector faces increased scrutiny over growth sustainability, and investors are closely watching whether new management can address persistent financial headwinds.
  • In light of the recent CEO transition, we'll explore how this leadership shift influences the outlook for C3.ai going forward.

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C3.ai Investment Narrative Recap

For any investor considering C3.ai, belief in the company’s ability to translate expanding enterprise AI demand into profitable, sustainable growth is central. The recent CEO transition is unlikely to quickly alter the most important short-term catalyst, restoring consistent revenue growth and sales execution, but introduces new risk around management’s ability to reverse deepening losses and steady customer momentum. At the same time, uncertainty is heightened by leadership changes overlapping with sector-wide doubts about the durability of AI growth expectations.

Among the latest announcements, the decision to withdraw previously issued earnings guidance stands out, coinciding with the CEO shift and a restructuring of the sales and services teams. This action underscores management’s current caution and uncertainty around forecasting, which directly ties into investor focus on whether short-term execution can be stabilized and visibility restored after revenue declines and rising losses.

In contrast, investors should also be aware that ongoing losses and persistent negative free cash flow continue to threaten…

Read the full narrative on C3.ai (it's free!)

C3.ai's narrative projects $613.6 million revenue and $80.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 16.4% yearly revenue growth and a $369 million increase in earnings from -$288.7 million today.

Uncover how C3.ai's forecasts yield a $14.67 fair value, a 4% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

AI Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
AI Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Fifteen Simply Wall St Community members estimate C3.ai’s fair value anywhere from US$13 to US$42.60 per share. While some focus on rapid AI adoption as a catalyst for turnaround, many also see persistent operating losses as an ongoing challenge, reminding you to review these varied perspectives before making any conclusions.

Explore 15 other fair value estimates on C3.ai - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own C3.ai Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your C3.ai research is our analysis highlighting 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free C3.ai research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate C3.ai's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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