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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Varonis Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VRNS) Price
Varonis Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VRNS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 5.1x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Varonis Systems
How Has Varonis Systems Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for Varonis Systems as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Varonis Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Varonis Systems' Revenue Growth Trending?
Varonis Systems' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 37% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 15% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 36% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Varonis Systems' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Varonis Systems' P/S Mean For Investors?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've concluded that Varonis Systems currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Varonis Systems, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:VRNS
Varonis Systems
Provides software products and services that continuously discover and classify critical data, remediate exposures, and detect advanced threats with AI-powered technology in North America, Europe, APAC, and rest of world.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.
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