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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Veritone, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VERI) 28% Share Price Plunge
Veritone, Inc. (NASDAQ:VERI) shares have had a horrible month, losing 28% after a relatively good period beforehand. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 13% in the last year.
After such a large drop in price, Veritone's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.6x and even P/S above 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
See our latest analysis for Veritone
How Has Veritone Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for Veritone as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Veritone's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Veritone's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.9% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 62% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per annum during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 20% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Veritone's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What Does Veritone's P/S Mean For Investors?
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Veritone's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As expected, our analysis of Veritone's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Veritone (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:VERI
Veritone
Engages in the provision of artificial intelligence (AI) computing solutions and services in the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Australia, Israel, and India.
Undervalued moderate.
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