Stock Analysis

Further Upside For TSS, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSSI) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce

NasdaqCM:TSSI
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Despite an already strong run, TSS, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSSI) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 1,960% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think TSS' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' IT industry is similar at about 2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

View our latest analysis for TSS

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:TSSI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 20th 2024

How TSS Has Been Performing

Recent times have been quite advantageous for TSS as its revenue has been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for TSS, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like TSS' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 199% last year. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that TSS' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From TSS' P/S?

TSS' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that TSS currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Having said that, be aware TSS is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on TSS, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TSS might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.