Stock Analysis

TSR, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSRI) Share Price Boosted 72% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NasdaqCM:TSRI
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The TSR, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSRI) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 72%. The last month tops off a massive increase of 105% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, TSR's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 32x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

The earnings growth achieved at TSR over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for TSR

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NasdaqCM:TSRI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 31st 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for TSR, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is TSR's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, TSR would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that TSR's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift TSR's P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that TSR maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for TSR you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on TSR, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TSR might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.