Tenable Holdings Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
Tenable Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 48.1% and 6.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 48.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 58.9% in 3 years.
Key information
48.1%
Earnings growth rate
48.17%
EPS growth rate
| Software earnings growth | 19.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.3% |
| Future return on equity | 58.93% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 28 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 18
TENB: AI Security And Margin Discipline Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted the Tenable Holdings fair value estimate from $29.05 to $27.05. This reflects a series of reduced Street price targets and slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, partly offset by updated views on profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple.Seeking Alpha • May 06
Tenable Holdings, Inc.: AI Fears Are Overdone, But Growth Is Slowing
Summary Tenable Holdings remains a buy despite a 22% price drop and sector-wide SaaS headwinds. TENB posted solid Q1 results with 9.6% revenue growth, strong cash flow, and robust margins, but guidance signals slowing growth. AI disruption fears weigh on valuation, yet management views AI as a collaborative force, not a replacement, and is integrating AI into its platform. Valuation is compelling: TENB trades at a low P/E of 10.6 and P/S of 2.47, with active buybacks and management conviction. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 27
TENB: AI Exposure Management Will Support Future Upside Despite Rising Competition
Tenable Holdings' fair value estimate has been trimmed by about $1 to $29.05, reflecting a wave of reduced Street price targets as analysts weigh intensifying competition and shifting expectations around AI driven cybersecurity spending. Analyst Commentary Street research around Tenable has turned more cautious, with a series of price target reductions and a new Equal Weight initiation pointing to a reassessment of risk and reward at current levels.Narrative Update • Apr 06
TENB: Billing Transition And AI Exposure Management Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Tenable, with several firms cutting expectations by $5 to $15 to around the high teens to high $20s. They cited intensifying competition in vulnerability management, evolving AI driven cyber offerings, and near term billing volatility tied to the company’s shift from multi year to annual contracts.Narrative Update • Mar 23
TENB: Billing Transition And Repurchases Will Support Future Upside Potential
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Tenable Holdings by single to low double digit dollar amounts. They generally cite rising competitive pressure in cybersecurity, billing mix shifts tied to Tenable One, and uncertainty around how AI related security spend will be divided across vendors.Narrative Update • Mar 08
TENB: Billing Transition Volatility And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Tenable Holdings by about $0.90 to $30.05, reflecting a series of lower Street price targets and a view that rising competition and billing transition noise justify a more cautious P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Bulls and bears are reading the same headlines on Tenable, but they are focusing on different parts of the story.Narrative Update • Feb 22
TENB: Billing Transition And AI Budget Tensions Will Set Up Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Tenable Holdings by a series of single to mid teen dollar cuts, reflecting caution around near term billing volatility and intensifying AI related competition for cyber budgets, while still acknowledging the company's positioning within vulnerability management. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes cluster around two themes for Tenable, with bulls focused on product positioning and potential corporate interest, and bears focused on near term billing optics and growing competition for AI related cyber spending.Narrative Update • Feb 07
TENB: Billing Transition Volatility Will Set Up Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Tenable Holdings to about US$31 from roughly US$36, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth, a somewhat higher profit margin, and a reduced future P/E multiple following a series of target cuts from major research firms. Analyst Commentary Research coverage on Tenable Holdings has recently tilted more cautious, with a cluster of price target cuts from multiple firms.Narrative Update • Jan 24
TENB: Billing Transition Volatility Will Set Up Upside And Sponsor Interest
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Tenable Holdings to about US$35.63 from roughly US$36.42, reflecting lower price targets on the stock as they take into account billing mix shifts and recent model updates across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tenable reflects a mix of optimism about the long term potential and concern around near term execution and valuation, especially as the company adjusts its billing practices.Narrative Update • Jan 09
TENB: Billing Transition Volatility Will Set Up Potential Upside And Acquisition Interest
Narrative update on Tenable Holdings Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Tenable, with the updated fair value estimate easing from about US$37.47 to US$36.42 as they factor in lower targets from firms such as Needham and JPMorgan, along with billing transition noise and ongoing interest in the stock as a potential acquisition candidate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tenable highlights a mix of valuation resets, billing related execution questions, and ongoing interest in the name as a possible target for larger security or financial buyers.Narrative Update • Dec 25
TENB: Earnings Preview Will Highlight Upside From Overweight Rating And Federal Contract
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Tenable Holdings to $40 from $44, reflecting a slightly lower fair value estimate based on updated earnings models and valuation assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight that the Overweight rating, alongside the reduced price target, suggests continued confidence in Tenable's medium term growth trajectory despite near term model adjustments.Narrative Update • Dec 11
TENB: Earnings Preview Will Drive Upside Amid Lowered Price Objective
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on Tenable Holdings to $40.00 from $44.00. This reflects updated earnings preview models and slightly higher assumed discount rates, while growth and margin expectations remain largely unchanged.Narrative Update • Nov 26
TENB: Earnings Preview Will Drive Upside Despite Reduced Price Forecast
Narrative Update on Tenable Holdings Analysts have reduced their price target for Tenable Holdings from $44 to $40. This adjustment is based on updated financial models and a more conservative outlook ahead of upcoming earnings.Narrative Update • Nov 11
TENB: Long-Term Confidence Will Persist Despite New Cautious Commentary
Narrative Update on Tenable Holdings Analysts have lowered their price target for Tenable Holdings from $44 to $40, citing updates to company forecasts and a more cautious outlook in advance of upcoming earnings. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment regarding Tenable Holdings has become more nuanced ahead of the company's earnings report, as reflected in updated forecasts and a revised price target.Narrative Update • Oct 27
Mixed Earnings Signals Will Shape Cybersecurity Opportunity Over The Coming Year
Tenable Holdings’ analyst price target has been revised downward from $39.95 to $38.79. This change reflects recent model updates by analysts following mixed signals from earnings previews and expectations for revenue growth and profitability.Analysis Article • Sep 19
Tenable Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TENB) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.9x Tenable Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TENB ) may be sending bullish signals at...Analysis Article • Jul 18
An Intrinsic Calculation For Tenable Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:TENB) Suggests It's 46% Undervalued
Key Insights Tenable Holdings' estimated fair value is US$61.19 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Tenable...Analysis Article • May 24
Tenable Holdings (NASDAQ:TENB) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Analysis Article • May 02
Tenable Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:TENB) Just Reported Earnings, And Analysts Cut Their Target Price
Tenable Holdings, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TENB ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell...
New Narrative • May 01
AI Analytics And Cloud Security Will Expand Market Opportunities
Tenable's strategic focus on AI and platform integration is enhancing competitive advantage, driving customer adoption, and expanding market opportunities.Analysis Article • Apr 28
Pinning Down Tenable Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TENB) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
There wouldn't be many who think Tenable Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:TENB ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x is...Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Tenable: One Of The Few 'Growth At A Reasonable Price' Cybersecurity Stocks
Summary Amid volatility, focus on 'growth at a reasonable price' stocks with solid fundamentals, like Tenable, which offers value and growth potential. This cybersecurity company focuses in exposure and vulnerability management, which is a large $33 billion market in which it is only ~4% penetrated. Tenable offers low-teens growth and mid-20s operating margins, showcasing strong growth/profitability balance with strong competitive win rates and expansion potential. The stock is quite cheap at <4x forward revenue, especially after a ~20% correction since the start of the year. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
Tenable Holdings: Security Tight, Upside Loose (Ratings Downgrade)
Summary Tenable Holdings, Inc. shows solid fundamentals but has underperformed the S&P 500, prompting a shift from a “Buy” to a “Hold” rating. Q4 2024 results were strong, with revenue up 10.5% YoY and EPS beating estimates, but growth is slowing. The Vulcan Cyber acquisition could boost long-term growth but introduces short-term costs and integration risks. TENB stock's valuation is attractive, but federal spending risks and modest growth outlook suggest near-term upside may be limited. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Dec 28
Is Tenable Holdings (NASDAQ:TENB) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Nov 19
Getting In Cheap On Tenable Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:TENB) Is Unlikely
It's not a stretch to say that Tenable Holdings, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:TENB ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.6x right...Seeking Alpha • Oct 21
Tenable Holdings: M&A Signals Weakness
Summary Tenable's share price has been under pressure due in large part to a slowdown in its vulnerability management business. Despite acquisitions and momentum in cloud security, Tenable's competitive positioning appears weak, which could be contributing to acquisition rumors. While Tenable's valuation is reasonable, an ongoing growth slowdown could lead to further stock declines if M&A doesn't materialize. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Sep 10
Is Tenable Holdings (NASDAQ:TENB) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,232 | 54 | 324 | 347 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,151 | 30 | 296 | 313 | 22 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,074 | 12 | 267 | 285 | 21 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,022 | -12 | 253 | 267 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 999 | -36 | 250 | 267 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 975 | -34 | 248 | 265 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 949 | -45 | 249 | 266 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 923 | -45 | 240 | 255 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 900 | -36 | 207 | 217 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 878 | -60 | 164 | 175 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 852 | -66 | 152 | 163 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 826 | -68 | 151 | 161 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 799 | -78 | 141 | 150 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 770 | -78 | 132 | 143 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 743 | -81 | 123 | 137 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 713 | -93 | 121 | 137 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 683 | -92 | 112 | 131 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 648 | -82 | 105 | 121 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 611 | -79 | 91 | 105 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 577 | -63 | 81 | 91 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 541 | -47 | 90 | 97 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 510 | -38 | 88 | 93 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 484 | -27 | 86 | 98 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 461 | -28 | 78 | 98 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 440 | -43 | 44 | 64 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 419 | -79 | 14 | 43 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 399 | -91 | -13 | 14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 377 | -101 | -24 | -5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 355 | -99 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 333 | -80 | N/A | -9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 310 | -84 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 289 | -79 | N/A | -4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 267 | -74 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 246 | -66 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 226 | -57 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 206 | -49 | N/A | -7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 188 | -42 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 124 | -38 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: TENB is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: TENB is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: TENB is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: TENB's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.9% per year).
High Growth Revenue: TENB's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: TENB's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (58.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/01 15:43 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Tenable Holdings, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Shrenik Kothari | Baird |
| Saket Kalia | Barclays |
| Andrew Smith | Berenberg |