Stock Analysis

Rapid7 (NASDAQ:RPD shareholders incur further losses as stock declines 3.4% this week, taking three-year losses to 70%

NasdaqGM:RPD
Source: Shutterstock

Every investor on earth makes bad calls sometimes. But really big losses can really drag down an overall portfolio. So consider, for a moment, the misfortune of Rapid7, Inc. (NASDAQ:RPD) investors who have held the stock for three years as it declined a whopping 70%. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. And over the last year the share price fell 25%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted.

After losing 3.4% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

View our latest analysis for Rapid7

Rapid7 isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over three years, Rapid7 grew revenue at 18% per year. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. So it seems unlikely the 19% share price drop (each year) is entirely about the revenue. More likely, the market was spooked by the cost of that revenue. This is exactly why investors need to diversify - even when a loss making company grows revenue, it can fail to deliver for shareholders.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:RPD Earnings and Revenue Growth September 4th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Rapid7

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, Rapid7 shareholders lost 25%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 5% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Rapid7 better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Rapid7 (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.