Paychex (PAYX) Stock Overview
Provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 5/6 |
PAYX Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Paychex, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$93.02 |
| 52 Week High | US$161.24 |
| 52 Week Low | US$85.45 |
| Beta | 0.87 |
| 1 Month Change | 2.32% |
| 3 Month Change | -9.80% |
| 1 Year Change | -37.91% |
| 3 Year Change | -13.73% |
| 5 Year Change | -7.91% |
| Change since IPO | 53,540.11% |
Recent News & Updates
PAYX: AI And Tapcheck Partnership Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns
The analyst price target for Paychex has been trimmed by about $0.27, reflecting a wave of recent target cuts from multiple firms as analysts factor in choppy macro conditions and the ongoing integration of Paycor into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Paychex shows a clear reset in expectations, with several firms cutting their price targets and one new initiation at a neutral stance.PAYX: AI Tools And Buybacks Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Paychex slightly lower to $101.20 from $102.80 as they factor in a higher discount rate, modestly different revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a slightly reduced future P/E multiple, following a series of recent target cuts and cautious research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned cautious on Paychex, with several firms trimming price targets and a few initiating more conservative ratings as they reassess growth, profitability and the integration of Paycor.Paychex: Staying Neutral Because Of Near-Term Growth Concerns
Apr 09
AI Rollout And PEO Demand Will Support Steady Outlook Despite Integration Risks
Catalysts About Paychex Paychex provides HR, payroll, benefits and PEO solutions to businesses of various sizes, with a large small business client base. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?PAYX: AI Upgrades And Buybacks Will Offset Paycor Integration Concerns
Paychex's analyst price target has been reset lower to about $103 from roughly $117, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by expectations for stable profitability and ongoing integration of Paycor. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Paychex has centered on recalibrated price targets, with several firms adjusting their models to reflect more tempered revenue expectations, a higher discount rate, and lower assumed future P/E multiples.Recent updates
PAYX: AI And Tapcheck Partnership Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns
The analyst price target for Paychex has been trimmed by about $0.27, reflecting a wave of recent target cuts from multiple firms as analysts factor in choppy macro conditions and the ongoing integration of Paycor into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Paychex shows a clear reset in expectations, with several firms cutting their price targets and one new initiation at a neutral stance.PAYX: AI Tools And Buybacks Will Support Post Paycor Integration Concerns
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Paychex slightly lower to $101.20 from $102.80 as they factor in a higher discount rate, modestly different revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a slightly reduced future P/E multiple, following a series of recent target cuts and cautious research notes. Analyst Commentary Recent research has leaned cautious on Paychex, with several firms trimming price targets and a few initiating more conservative ratings as they reassess growth, profitability and the integration of Paycor.Paychex: Staying Neutral Because Of Near-Term Growth Concerns
Apr 09AI Rollout And PEO Demand Will Support Steady Outlook Despite Integration Risks
Catalysts About Paychex Paychex provides HR, payroll, benefits and PEO solutions to businesses of various sizes, with a large small business client base. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?PAYX: AI Upgrades And Buybacks Will Offset Paycor Integration Concerns
Paychex's analyst price target has been reset lower to about $103 from roughly $117, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E multiple, partly offset by expectations for stable profitability and ongoing integration of Paycor. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Paychex has centered on recalibrated price targets, with several firms adjusting their models to reflect more tempered revenue expectations, a higher discount rate, and lower assumed future P/E multiples.
AI Adoption And HCM Data Scale Will Reshape This Payroll Leader’s Long-Term Potential
Catalysts About Paychex Paychex provides payroll, HR, benefits and HCM technology solutions to small and midsize businesses across its Paychex Flex, SurePayroll and Paycor platforms. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?PAYX: AI Automation And Buybacks Will Offset Defensive Competitive Concerns Over Time
Analysts have reduced their Paychex price target by about $2 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates, higher required returns, and modestly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent bearish initiations and cautious commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned cautious on Paychex, with new coverage framing recent moves, including the Paycor stake, as largely defensive rather than a clear growth accelerator.PAYX: AI And Buybacks Will Counter Defensive Competitive Pressures Over Time
Analysts have trimmed their Paychex price target slightly to about $119 per share, reflecting modest adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions following new bearish coverage that characterizes recent competitive moves as largely defensive. Analyst Commentary Recent research frames the latest competitive response, including the Paycor related move, as more defensive than opportunistic.PAYX: AI And Buybacks Will Support Resilient Future Cash Flow Profile
Analysts have trimmed their average Paychex price target slightly to about $119.53 from roughly $120.20, reflecting a modestly lower assumed future P/E and fresh bearish initiation commentary that characterizes the recent Paycor acquisition as a largely defensive move. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary focuses heavily on the Paycor acquisition and how it feeds into expectations for Paychex valuation and execution.PAYX: AI And Platform Partnerships Will Support Resilient Cash Flow Profile
Analysts have trimmed their Paychex fair value estimate from about US$122 to roughly US$120, reflecting slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a modestly lower future P/E and a mild uptick in the discount rate after recent bearish initiations on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research has focused on the implications of Paychex's move toward Paycor and how that fits with the current fair value reassessment.PAYX: Broader Suite And AI Will Confront Cyclical Labor And Rate Risks
Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to their price target on Paychex, pointing to the broader solution suite following the Paycor acquisition, while also flagging cyclical risks tied to potential revenue softness if unemployment rises and interest rates move lower. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the Paycor acquisition as a way for Paychex to offer a broader and more comprehensive suite of solutions, which they see as supportive of the current valuation range.Should You Investigate Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) At US$111?
Jan 07
PAYX: AI And Suite Expansion Will Navigate Cyclical Labor Uncertainty Ahead
Analysts have modestly reduced their Paychex fair value estimate by about $6 to roughly $122 per share, reflecting tempered expectations for revenue growth and future valuation multiples, despite resilient margins and a broader solution suite. Analyst Commentary Street research on Paychex reflects a generally balanced stance, with most firms maintaining neutral or modestly cautious ratings while making incremental target price adjustments.PAYX: Acquisition Synergy Will Support Suite Expansion Amid Cyclical Labor Market Uncertainty
Analysts modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Paychex to approximately $128 from about $134 per share, citing slightly softer assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation multiples amid heightened macroeconomic and labor market uncertainty. Analyst Commentary Street research on Paychex reflects a generally cautious, wait and see stance, with most firms maintaining neutral or Hold type ratings while trimming price targets.PAYX: Acquisition Synergy Will Boost Solution Suite And Support Margin Resilience
The analyst price target for Paychex has edged down slightly, with the fair value estimate decreasing by $0.57 to $134.14. Analysts cite ongoing macroeconomic concerns and mixed signals from recent earnings results as key factors behind the adjustment.PAYX: Acquisition Will Drive Broader Solution Suite And Support Margins Going Forward
The analyst price target for Paychex has shifted slightly lower, down by $0.52 to $134.71. Analysts see a stable but cautious outlook due to ongoing macroeconomic concerns and modest revenue growth expectations.Analyst Commentary Highlights Balanced Views on Paychex Amid Subtle Valuation and Growth Adjustments
The analyst price target for Paychex edged up slightly to $135.23 from $135.15, as analysts balanced lower organic growth expectations and macroeconomic uncertainty with the company's resilient margins and cash flow profile. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinions on Paychex reflect a range of perspectives, balancing the company’s strong margins and free cash flow with concerns about cyclical pressures and growth variability.Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions
The analyst price target for Paychex has been lowered from approximately $145.08 to $135.15. Analysts cite ongoing revenue growth headwinds, a premium valuation, and a balanced risk/reward outlook in a challenging operating environment.Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions
Paychex’s consensus price target was revised slightly lower to $145.08 as analysts cite slower organic revenue growth, lack of FY26 guidance clarity, and a subdued sector outlook amid macroeconomic headwinds, suggesting shares may remain range-bound. Analyst Commentary Slower organic revenue growth in Management Solutions, partly attributed to integration distractions, is weighing on near-term performance and expectations.Paycor Acquisition And AI Tools Will Redefine HCM Solutions
Paychex’s analyst price target remained unchanged at $147.33 as mixed sentiment—driven by weaker-than-expected Q4 results, softer revenue growth, integration concerns surrounding the Paycor deal, and uncertainty over FY26 projections—was offset by a stable client base and resilient underlying demand. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts highlight weaker-than-expected Q4 and softer organic revenue growth, with Paychex’s fiscal 2026 guidance falling below investor expectations.Investor Optimism Abounds Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) But Growth Is Lacking
Sep 02The Returns On Capital At Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX) Don't Inspire Confidence
Aug 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX)
Jul 11Here's Why We Think Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Jun 18Paychex's (NASDAQ:PAYX) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's
May 07Paychex: Accelerating Growth With Paycor
Mar 24Paychex Inc: The Paycor Acquisition Could Be A Game Changer
Jan 25Paychex Writes A Fat Check For Paycor HCM
Jan 08Paychex: Payrolling In Profits, But Valuation Could Use A Check
Dec 20Paychex Q1: Did Not Put Me Over The Fence
Oct 02Paychex: Steady But Unspectacular Returns Likely
Sep 12Shareholder Returns
| PAYX | US Professional Services | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 3.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| 1Y | -37.9% | -20.2% | 27.7% |
Return vs Industry: PAYX underperformed the US Professional Services industry which returned -20.2% over the past year.
Return vs Market: PAYX underperformed the US Market which returned 27.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| PAYX volatility | |
|---|---|
| PAYX Average Weekly Movement | 4.5% |
| Professional Services Industry Average Movement | 8.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.3% |
Stable Share Price: PAYX has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: PAYX's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1971 | 19,000 | John Gibson | www.paychex.com |
Paychex, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India. It offers payroll processing services; payroll tax administration services; employee payment services; and regulatory compliance services. The company provides retirement solutions, such as plan implementation, ongoing compliance with government regulations, employee and employer reporting, participant and employer online access, electronic funds transfer, and other administrative services; HCM solutions from recruiting and hiring to retirement; and talent management and talent acquisition services.
Paychex, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| PAYX fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$33.19b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.64b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$6.33b |
20.4x
P/E Ratio5.3x
P/S RatioIs PAYX overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| PAYX income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$6.33b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.65b |
| Gross Profit | US$4.68b |
| Other Expenses | US$3.05b |
| Earnings | US$1.64b |
Last Reported Earnings
Feb 28, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 4.57 |
| Gross Margin | 73.93% |
| Net Profit Margin | 25.84% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 123.4% |
How did PAYX perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
4.6%
Current Dividend Yield95%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/01 03:45 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/02/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/05/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Paychex, Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Mark Marcon | Baird |
| Lisa Dejong Ellis | Bernstein |