Stock Analysis

Why Karooooo's (NASDAQ:KARO) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

NasdaqCM:KARO
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Shareholders appeared to be happy with Karooooo Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:KARO) solid earnings report last week. Looking deeper at the numbers, we found several encouraging factors beyond the headline profit numbers.

See our latest analysis for Karooooo

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqCM:KARO Earnings and Revenue History May 22nd 2024

Zooming In On Karooooo's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Karooooo has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to February 2024. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. To wit, it produced free cash flow of R998m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of R738.2m. Karooooo shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Karooooo's Profit Performance

Karooooo's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Karooooo's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! And the EPS is up 52% annually, over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Karooooo.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Karooooo's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Karooooo is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.