Stock Analysis

Gorilla Technology Group Inc. (NASDAQ:GRRR) Just Reported, And Analysts Assigned A US$4.97 Price Target

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NasdaqCM:GRRR

Shareholders will be ecstatic, with their stake up 67% over the past week following Gorilla Technology Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GRRR) latest third-quarter results. Revenue greatly exceeded expectations at US$32m, some 54% ahead of analyst forecasts. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Gorilla Technology Group

NasdaqCM:GRRR Earnings and Revenue Growth February 9th 2024

After the latest results, the three analysts covering Gorilla Technology Group are now predicting revenues of US$86.1m in 2024. If met, this would reflect a major 106% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Earnings are expected to tip over into lossmaking territory, with the analysts forecasting statutory losses of -US$0.05 per share in 2024. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$87.6m and US$0.12 per share in losses. While the revenue estimates were largely unchanged, sentiment seems to have improved, with the analysts upgrading their numbers and making a very promising decrease in losses per share in particular.

Even with the lower forecast losses, the analysts lowered their valuations, with the average price target falling 5.7% to US$4.97. It looks likethe analysts have become less optimistic about the overall business. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Gorilla Technology Group at US$7.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$3.90. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. For example, we noticed that Gorilla Technology Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 78% growth to the end of 2024 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 25% a year over the past three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 13% per year. Not only are Gorilla Technology Group's revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that the analysts made no changes to their forecasts for a loss next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Gorilla Technology Group analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Gorilla Technology Group (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.