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Take Care Before Jumping Onto Datasea Inc. (NASDAQ:DTSS) Even Though It's 46% Cheaper
The Datasea Inc. (NASDAQ:DTSS) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 46%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 93% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, Datasea's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.3x and even P/S above 12x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Datasea
How Datasea Has Been Performing
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Datasea as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Datasea's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
Datasea's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 216%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that Datasea is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Datasea's P/S
Shares in Datasea have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We're very surprised to see Datasea currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Datasea has 5 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:DTSS
Datasea
Provides technology and information systems to corporate and individual customers in the People’s Republic of China.
Excellent balance sheet slight.