Stock Analysis

Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ:BTDR) Soars 28% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

NasdaqCM:BTDR
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Bitdeer Technologies Group (NASDAQ:BTDR) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 26% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Bitdeer Technologies Group may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.4x and even P/S higher than 12x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Bitdeer Technologies Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:BTDR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 11th 2024

How Has Bitdeer Technologies Group Performed Recently?

Bitdeer Technologies Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Bitdeer Technologies Group.

How Is Bitdeer Technologies Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Bitdeer Technologies Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.7%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 78% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 24% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 15%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Bitdeer Technologies Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Bitdeer Technologies Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Bitdeer Technologies Group's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To us, it seems Bitdeer Technologies Group currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Bitdeer Technologies Group (2 are potentially serious) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bitdeer Technologies Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.