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Digital Turbine, Inc. (NASDAQ:APPS) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Digital Turbine, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:APPS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.4x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Digital Turbine
How Digital Turbine Has Been Performing
Digital Turbine could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Digital Turbine's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Digital Turbine would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 188% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.4% each year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 17% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Digital Turbine's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Digital Turbine's P/S Mean For Investors?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Digital Turbine maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Digital Turbine that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:APPS
Digital Turbine
Through its subsidiaries, operates a mobile growth platform for advertisers, publishers, carriers, and device original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).
Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.