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Benign Growth For Agora, Inc. (NASDAQ:API) Underpins Stock's 28% Plummet
The Agora, Inc. (NASDAQ:API) share price has softened a substantial 28% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 80%, which is great even in a bull market.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Agora may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 5.6x and even P/S higher than 13x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Agora
What Does Agora's Recent Performance Look Like?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Agora's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Keen to find out how analysts think Agora's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Agora would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.4% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 10% per year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 21% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Agora is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Agora's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Software companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As expected, our analysis of Agora's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Agora (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:API
Agora
Operates in real-time engagement technology business in the People’s Republic of China, the United States, and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.