American Software, Inc.

NasdaqGS:AMSW.A Stock Report

Mkt Cap: US$498.3m

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

American Software Valuation

Is AMSW.A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMSW.A?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AMSW.A key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA27.1x
PEG Ratio3.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMSW.A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMSW.A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average63.6x
MTLS Materialise
74.3x68.7%US$584.7m
RMNI Rimini Street
6.3x-16.9%US$437.9m
MITK Mitek Systems
65.4x87.2%US$441.9m
SSTI ShotSpotter
108.4x-31.6%US$446.4m
AMSW.A American Software
46.4x13.4%US$498.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMSW.A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.4x) compared to the peer average (63.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMSW.A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.4%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMSW.A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.4x) compared to the US Software industry average (42.3x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMSW.A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMSW.A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.4x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMSW.A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMSW.A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMSW.A ($14.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($19.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMSW.A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMSW.A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.77
US$21.83
+47.8%
1.1%US$22.00US$21.50n/a3
Jan ’24US$14.68
US$21.83
+48.7%
1.1%US$22.00US$21.50n/a3
Dec ’23US$15.18
US$21.83
+43.8%
1.1%US$22.00US$21.50n/a3
Nov ’23US$16.59
US$29.33
+76.8%
18.1%US$36.00US$23.00n/a3
Oct ’23US$15.32
US$29.33
+91.5%
18.1%US$36.00US$23.00n/a3
Sep ’23US$16.29
US$29.33
+80.1%
18.1%US$36.00US$23.00n/a3
Aug ’23US$18.10
US$29.33
+62.1%
18.1%US$36.00US$23.00n/a3
Jul ’23US$16.38
US$29.33
+79.1%
18.1%US$36.00US$23.00n/a3
Jun ’23US$16.83
US$29.33
+74.3%
18.1%US$36.00US$23.00n/a3
May ’23US$17.10
US$29.33
+71.5%
18.1%US$36.00US$23.00n/a3
Apr ’23US$20.92
US$29.33
+40.2%
18.1%US$36.00US$23.00n/a3
Mar ’23US$21.65
US$29.33
+35.5%
18.1%US$36.00US$23.00n/a3
Feb ’23US$22.69
US$35.00
+54.3%
8.4%US$38.00US$31.00n/a3
Jan ’23US$26.17
US$35.00
+33.7%
8.4%US$38.00US$31.00US$14.683
Dec ’22US$22.59
US$34.50
+52.7%
10.1%US$38.00US$31.00US$15.182
Nov ’22US$29.68
US$31.25
+5.3%
8.8%US$34.00US$28.50US$16.592
Oct ’22US$24.59
US$31.25
+27.1%
8.8%US$34.00US$28.50US$15.322
Sep ’22US$25.50
US$28.50
+11.8%
0%US$28.50US$28.50US$16.291
Aug ’22US$22.00
US$25.50
+15.9%
2.0%US$26.00US$25.00US$18.102
Jul ’22US$22.52
US$25.50
+13.2%
2.0%US$26.00US$25.00US$16.382
Jun ’22US$20.11
US$23.00
+14.4%
0%US$23.00US$23.00US$16.832
May ’22US$20.69
US$23.00
+11.2%
0%US$23.00US$23.00US$17.102
Apr ’22US$20.99
US$23.00
+9.6%
0%US$23.00US$23.00US$20.922
Mar ’22US$20.14
US$23.00
+14.2%
0%US$23.00US$23.00US$21.652
Feb ’22US$19.17
US$21.00
+9.5%
0%US$21.00US$21.00US$22.692
Jan ’22US$17.17
US$21.00
+22.3%
0%US$21.00US$21.00US$26.172

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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