Amplitude Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Amplitude is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 1.1% and 14.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.2% in 3 years.
Key information
1.1%
Earnings growth rate
15.95%
EPS growth rate
| Software earnings growth | 19.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 14.2% |
| Future return on equity | 10.15% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 11 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 29
AMPL: AI Product Momentum And Buybacks Will Support Future Market Rerating
Analyst price targets for Amplitude have been reduced, with the fair value estimate moving from $12.70 to $11.40 as analysts incorporate slightly lower revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Amplitude points to a mixed setup, with several firms trimming price targets while keeping generally constructive views on execution and growth.
Narrative Update • Apr 15
AMPL: AI Execution And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential
The analyst fair value estimate for Amplitude has moved modestly higher to $20.00, as analysts factor in slightly higher modeled revenue growth, a small adjustment to the discount rate, and a steady long term P/E assumption, despite several recent price target cuts that reflect more cautious views on margins and near term execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Amplitude reflects a split view, with many price targets reset to lower levels while some bullish analysts highlight potential upside tied to execution and product momentum.Narrative Update • Apr 01
AMPL: AI Product Momentum And Buyback Program Will Support Re Rating
Analysts have trimmed the blended price target for Amplitude by around $3 to reflect lower fair value and profit margin assumptions, even as they factor in slightly higher revenue growth expectations and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Amplitude shows a mixed picture, with several firms cutting their price targets while keeping generally positive or neutral ratings.Narrative Update • Mar 18
AMPL: AI Adoption And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential
Narrative Update on Amplitude The updated analyst fair value estimate for Amplitude moves slightly higher to about $19.63 from $19.00. Analysts are weighing mixed price target revisions alongside expectations for revenue growth around the mid to high teens and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Mar 04
AMPL: AI Data Products And Guidance Will Support Future Repricing
Analysts have reset their view on Amplitude with the average price target moving to about $9 from $12. This reflects updated models that balance tempered margin expectations with ongoing revenue growth and product momentum flagged in recent research.Narrative Update • Feb 17
AMPL: Recent Upgrade And Reset Expectations Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Amplitude by $4, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following recent research that combined a target cut with an upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Amplitude combines a price target trim with an upgrade, which sends a mixed but generally constructive signal for investors.Narrative Update • Feb 03
AMPL: Recent Upgrade And AI-Powered Feedback Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly reset their expectations on Amplitude, trimming the price target by $4 as they factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple based on recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are using the latest research updates to fine tune their views on Amplitude, with attention on how the revised assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples feed into long term valuation scenarios.Narrative Update • Jan 20
AMPL: Recent Upgrade And AI Launches Will Support Future Upside
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Amplitude steady at $19.00, citing slightly adjusted assumptions around revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E following recent research updates, including a Morgan Stanley upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how current assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E line up with Amplitude's execution and the risk profile implied by the US$19.00 fair value estimate.Narrative Update • Jan 05
AMPL: AI Product Suite And Buybacks Will Support Steady Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Amplitude from US$11.00 to US$12.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Amplitude launched AI Feedback, a customer feedback engine that uses a proprietary LLC process to convert raw input into prioritized product insights.Narrative Update • Dec 14
AMPL: AI Product Suite And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Future Upside
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Amplitude from 18.00 dollars to 19.00 dollars, citing slightly faster expected revenue growth and a richer future earnings multiple that more than offset a marginally lower profit margin and higher discount rate. What's in the News Launched AI Feedback, a customer feedback engine that turns raw input into prioritized, actionable insights to guide product roadmaps, messaging, and churn reduction (Key Developments).Seeking Alpha • Nov 17
Amplitude: Buy Before The Market Catches On To This Turnaround
Summary Amplitude offers a compelling value opportunity with bargain-basement multiples and a turnaround in fundamentals not yet fully appreciated by the market. AMPL's Q3 beat-and-raise quarter, accelerating revenue growth, and rising RPO signal a positive long-term trajectory and improving customer commitments. At just over $10 per share, AMPL trades at low revenue multiples, with potential for significant upside if assigned even conservative industry valuations. I'm reiterating a "Buy" rating on AMPL, as its overlooked growth and AI-driven demand position it well for a 2026 turnaround and market re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Sep 29
Should You Think About Buying Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL) Now?
Amplitude, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMPL ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during...Analysis Article • Aug 10
Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets
NasdaqCM:AMPL 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Amplitude's Fair Values from the Community and select yours The...Narrative Update • Aug 08
Enterprise Adoption And AI Analytics Will Power Digital Transformation
The upward revision in Amplitude's price target reflects slightly improved revenue growth forecasts and a higher future P/E multiple, raising its fair value estimate from $14.67 to $15.44. What's in the News Amplitude provided Q3 revenue guidance of $85.0–$87.0 million and full-year revenue guidance of $335.2–$338.2 million for 2025.Analysis Article • Jun 27
Is It Time To Consider Buying Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL)?
While Amplitude, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMPL ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NASDAQCM gainers with a...Analysis Article • Apr 09
Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 33% Price Plummet
Amplitude, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMPL ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 33% after a relatively good period beforehand...
New Narrative • Mar 23
AI-driven Features And Enterprise Strategy Will Create An Integrated Data Analytics Solution By 2025
Enterprise platform strategy and product innovations aim to enhance revenue growth, customer engagement, and cross-sell opportunities.Seeking Alpha • Feb 25
Amplitude: With Acceleration Expected In FY25, I'm Buying In
Summary Amplitude stock fell slightly after its Q4 earnings print, creating a well-timed buying opportunity. The company is expecting revenue acceleration in FY25, driven by improving retention and churn trends amid a still-choppy macro environment. The company's push upmarket is helping to spur robust ARR growth with a path to further expansion. The stock remains cheaply valued at just ~4x forward revenue. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 21
Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL) Stock Rockets 28% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Despite an already strong run, Amplitude, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMPL ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the...Analysis Article • Jan 01
Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Amplitude, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMPL) Shares
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 5.4x in the Software industry in the United States, you could...Analysis Article • Nov 08
Should You Think About Buying Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL) Now?
Amplitude, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMPL ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...Analysis Article • Oct 12
Amplitude, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMPL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 91% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Amplitude's estimated fair value is US$16.29 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Amplitude's US$8.53...Seeking Alpha • Aug 13
Amplitude: Rating Upgrade As The Trough Is Getting Near
Summary Upgraded rating from hold to buy due to potential growth acceleration in the coming quarters. 2Q24 earnings showed positive growth, strong billings, and raised revenue guidance. New Amplitude product launch expected to drive further growth acceleration. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 11
Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL) Price Target After Its Latest Report
Amplitude, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMPL ) came out with its second-quarter results last week, and we wanted to see how the...Analysis Article • Jun 27
Amplitude, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMPL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 74% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Amplitude's estimated fair value is US$15.08 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Amplitude's US$8.68...Analysis Article • May 10
Amplitude, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMPL) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
It's not a stretch to say that Amplitude, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:AMPL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.1x right now...Analysis Article • Apr 16
When Should You Buy Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL)?
While Amplitude, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMPL ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 549 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 462 | -88 | 33 | 52 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 401 | -91 | 21 | 32 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 357 | -90 | 20 | 26 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 343 | -89 | 23 | 30 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 330 | -103 | 14 | 20 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 317 | -96 | 15 | 21 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 307 | -95 | 4 | 11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 299 | -94 | 12 | 19 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 293 | -80 | 12 | 18 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 288 | -81 | 15 | 19 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 282 | -86 | 27 | 31 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 276 | -90 | 22 | 26 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 270 | -96 | 15 | 19 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 261 | -101 | 4 | 8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 251 | -97 | -7 | -2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 238 | -93 | -11 | -5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 222 | -91 | -18 | -12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 206 | -105 | -29 | -24 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 187 | -91 | -43 | -40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 167 | -75 | -35 | -32 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 148 | -58 | -26 | -24 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 129 | -24 | -9 | -6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 113 | -23 | -8 | -6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 102 | -25 | -13 | -10 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 68 | -34 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AMPL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: AMPL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: AMPL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AMPL's revenue (14.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AMPL's revenue (14.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AMPL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.2%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 22:20 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Amplitude, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Robert Oliver | Baird |
| Koji Ikeda | BofA Global Research |
| Nicholas Altmann | BTIG |