Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

NYSE:TSM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$712.7b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.5% and 15.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 27.8% in 3 years.

Key information

16.5%

Earnings growth rate

16.6%

EPS growth rate

Semiconductor earnings growth22.9%
Revenue growth rate15.8%
Future return on equity27.8%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

TSMC Earnings Preview, AI Strength Faces Tariff Headwinds

Apr 12

Taiwan Semiconductor: Be Greedy When Others Are Fearful

Mar 31

TSMC: 2nm Is On Track For Mass Production

Mar 25

Taiwan Semiconductor: Set To Capture Majority Of AI Profits

Mar 16

TSMC Holds All The Cards And Why That Spells Opportunity

Mar 09

TSMC: The Backbone Of The AI Industry Continues To Be Undervalued

Feb 28

Taiwan Semiconductor: Another Buying Opportunity Materializes (Technical Analysis) (Rating Upgrade)

Feb 19

TSMC: AI Foundry Leader For GPUs And ASICs

Feb 11

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing: AI Growth Play At A Reasonable Valuation

Jan 31

Why Taiwan Semiconductor Is A Buy: Capitalizing On AI And HPC Trends

Jan 24

TSMC's Q4 2024 Earnings Outperformance: 3 Reasons To Buy Here

Jan 16

TSMC To Deliver A Robust Quarter

Jan 09

TSMC: Why I Took Profits (Rating Downgrade)

Dec 31

TSMC: Market Outperformance Expected, Driven By N2 Advancements And Strong ASIC Demand

Dec 23

TSMC: A Chinese Invasion Of Taiwan Would Devastate Global Markets And Itself

Dec 02

Taiwan Semiconductor: A Golden Buying Opportunity

Nov 22

Taiwan Semiconductor: Greater Certainty In Stormy AI Race

Nov 11

Taiwan Semiconductor: Don't Discount The Competition

Oct 26

Taiwan Semiconductor Q3 Earnings: 'Demand Right Now Is Insane'

Oct 18

Taiwan Semiconductor: One Of The Best (And Cheapest) AI Plays

Oct 12

TSMC: Still A Long-Term Buy Given Its Technological Leadership And AI Growth Story

Oct 06

TSMC: 2nm Wafers Can Outperform The Already Strong Ramp In 3nm Wafers

Sep 25

Taiwan Semiconductor: Valuation Dips Go Great With Chips

Sep 12

Taiwan Semiconductor: Chip Giant Is Still A Buy Despite Short-Term Risks

Sep 05

Taiwan Semiconductor: Still Buy On AI

Aug 29

TSMC: A Huge Opportunity To Buy The Crown Jewel Of Semiconductors

Aug 07

TSMC: Focus On Fundamentals, Ignore The Noise

Jul 31

TSMC: Buy Status Vs. Rising Geopolitical Risks

Jul 25

3 Key Takeaways From TSMC's Q2 2024 Beat And Raise

Jul 18

TSMC: Taiwan Discount

Jul 11

TSMC: Strategic Alliances Lift Stock To New All-Time Highs

Jul 01

Taiwan Semiconductor: A Sure Bet On AI

Jun 25

TSMC: By Far The Strongest Chip Company

Jun 18

TSMC: One Of The Cheapest Big Tech/AI Stocks

Jun 10

Taiwan Semiconductor Stock: April Sales Soar From Advanced Nodes

Jun 04

TSMC: Derisking China Invasion Threats

May 17

TSMC: Charting A Path To $185

May 08

Third Point - Taiwan Semiconductor: The 'Toll Road' For AI Compute

May 02
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Narrative update from Goran Damchevski

Apr 30TSMC reported a Q1 revenue of $18.87B, representing a growth of 12.9% YoY, and a 3.8% decrease in QoQ. The performance was driven by demand for high performance compute (HPC), which was negatively off

Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Is Breaking Out (Technical Analysis)

Apr 17

TSMC: Don't Be Ruined By Over-Optimism (Downgrade)

Apr 09

TSMC: Robust Growth To Continue

Apr 03
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Semiconductor Demand will likely persist from the likes of AI, IoT, and 5G

Mar 26AI Chip Boom: TSMC’s quarterly revenue surged at its fastest pace in over a year, thanks to the global boom in AI development. The demand for high-end chips and servers, particularly those used in AI

Best Chip Stock To Ride The AI Frenzy: Taiwan Semiconductor (SA Quant)

Mar 26

Taiwan Semiconductor: A Long-Term Winner Amidst Short-Term Hype

Mar 15

Taiwan Semiconductor Raising Prices 8.7% In 2024 As Revenue Growth Underperforms Customers

Mar 05
author-image

Narrative update from Stjepan Kalinic

Feb 26The company reported strong Q4 earnings in January, beating the upper end of guidance on revenue and operating margin.

Investing In Innovation: Why Taiwan Semiconductor Is A Smart Choice For Long-Term Growth

Feb 21
author-image

High Growth Opportunities And Categorical Risk Factors Increase The Range Of TSMC’s Valuation

Feb 14TSMC is the current leader in chip manufacturing, boasting the most advanced technology and a strong customer base

Taiwan Semiconductor: Highly Wanted Advanced Technology

Feb 05

Taiwan Semiconductor: Beijing Is A Threat

Jan 29

Taiwan Semiconductor Is Becoming A Dividend Growth Machine

Jan 23

TSMC: DPP Taiwan Election Win Could Mean Greater Risks For The Stock

Jan 17

TSMC Is Probably The Most Important Company In The World Right Now

Jan 11

TSMC: Major Apple Risk Persists But Stock Still Investible (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 01

TSMC Vs. Intel: Only 1 Can Win

Dec 24

Taiwan Semiconductor: The 800-Pound Chip Gorilla That's An Underappreciated Play On AI

Nov 25

Taiwan Semiconductor: Taking The Temperature Of AI

Nov 14

Taiwan Semiconductor: Bottoming Semiconductor Cycle With Increasingly Diversified Footprint

Oct 27
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Political Status Quo Will Result in Stable Growth

Oct 23A geopolitical status quo means TSMC can remain the market leader

Q3 Earnings: Navigating TSMC's Risk/Rewards And Future Outlook

Oct 20

Taiwan Semiconductor - Maintaining Buy: Headwinds Priced In And Rebound Ahead

Oct 10

TSMC: Why Near-Term Downside Is Highly Probable (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 03

Taiwan Semiconductor Makes Chips For 3 Of The Top 4 Greatest Growth Technologies

Sep 26

TSMC: AI Winner At Attractive Valuation

Sep 20

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:TSM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (TWD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20275,171,1892,189,0881,830,8693,320,07516
12/31/20264,367,6381,856,9381,277,5682,676,14032
12/31/20253,681,3431,567,296858,8772,216,75833
12/31/20242,894,3081,173,268861,3521,826,177N/A
9/30/20242,651,3751,037,300828,6741,600,801N/A
6/30/20242,438,416923,042711,3821,503,454N/A
3/31/20242,245,747856,996457,1381,293,034N/A
12/31/20232,161,736838,498286,6351,241,967N/A
9/30/20232,161,739895,690212,6631,334,020N/A
6/30/20232,228,149965,556290,8701,452,073N/A
3/31/20232,281,4481,020,784493,9951,623,674N/A
12/31/20222,263,8911,016,530520,9851,610,599N/A
9/30/20222,076,549886,858511,6991,501,917N/A
6/30/20221,878,076762,251495,1491,407,925N/A
3/31/20221,716,081659,582394,1701,256,515N/A
12/31/20211,587,415596,540263,9241,112,161N/A
9/30/20211,510,759565,933294,262993,092N/A
6/30/20211,452,515546,985256,398864,557N/A
3/31/20211,391,068533,448275,468847,452N/A
12/31/20201,339,255510,744305,885822,666N/A
9/30/20201,294,959499,838164,307766,490N/A
6/30/20201,231,578463,598115,551718,072N/A
3/31/20201,161,878409,54180,383665,498N/A
12/31/20191,069,985353,948145,387615,139N/A
9/30/20191,042,519341,134188,455601,557N/A
6/30/20191,009,821329,136169,147553,886N/A
3/31/20191,002,099334,662237,243565,899N/A
12/31/20181,031,474363,053251,273573,954N/A
9/30/20181,019,274352,320N/A588,708N/A
6/30/20181,011,033353,174N/A611,409N/A
3/31/2018991,611347,154N/A585,036N/A
12/31/2017977,447344,998N/A585,318N/A
9/30/2017962,104341,492N/A566,412N/A
6/30/2017970,403348,326N/A576,038N/A
3/31/2017978,357354,561N/A579,314N/A
12/31/2016947,938331,714N/A539,835N/A
9/30/2016889,230303,161N/A499,287N/A
6/30/2016841,329281,731N/A491,017N/A
3/31/2016824,959288,642N/A495,408N/A
12/31/2015843,497302,851N/A529,879N/A
9/30/2015862,500304,142N/A538,876N/A
6/30/2015859,045305,144N/A511,982N/A
3/31/2015836,625285,425N/A482,663N/A
12/31/2014762,807254,301N/A421,524N/A
9/30/2014686,091224,537N/A370,628N/A
6/30/2014639,619200,158N/A375,185N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TSM's forecast earnings growth (16.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: TSM's earnings (16.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TSM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TSM's revenue (15.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TSM's revenue (15.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TSM's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (27.8%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/13 16:03
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/11 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited is covered by 80 analysts. 33 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ge BaiABCI Securities Company Limited
Warren LauAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Brett SimpsonArete Research Services LLP