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NeoPhotonics Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

132.6%

Earnings growth rate

118.8%

EPS growth rate

Semiconductor earnings growth	27.1%
Revenue growth rate	17.9%
Future return on equity	n/a
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	n/a

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

NeoPhotonics Non-GAAP EPS of $0.15 beats by $0.10, revenue of $95.01M beats by $2.4M

Jul 25

Increases to CEO Compensation Might Be Put On Hold For Now at NeoPhotonics Corporation (NYSE:NPTN)

May 26

NeoPhotonics' (NYSE:NPTN) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Apr 13

Here's Why NeoPhotonics (NYSE:NPTN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Mar 26

If You Had Bought NeoPhotonics (NYSE:NPTN) Stock A Year Ago, You Could Pocket A 34% Gain Today

Mar 08

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying NeoPhotonics Corporation (NYSE:NPTN)?

Feb 15

We Think NeoPhotonics's (NYSE:NPTN) Statutory Profit Might Understate Its Earnings Potential

Jan 29

Here’s What’s Happening With Returns At NeoPhotonics (NYSE:NPTN)

Jan 11

NeoPhotonics (NYSE:NPTN) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Dec 22

Did NeoPhotonics' (NYSE:NPTN) Share Price Deserve to Gain 32%?

Dec 07

NeoPhotonics Corporation (NYSE:NPTN) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Nov 21

Pitfalls Remain For NeoPhotonics Even If It Is Optimistic About Life Without Huawei

Nov 09

NeoPhotonics Corporation 2020 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation

Nov 03

NeoPhotonics Q3 2020 Earnings Preview

Nov 01

Here's Why We Think NeoPhotonics's (NYSE:NPTN) Statutory Earnings Might Be Conservative

Jun 30

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NPTN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2023	461	41	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2022	393	20	30	N/A	4
6/30/2022	349	-7	-20	-9	N/A
3/31/2022	319	-33	-35	-23	N/A
12/31/2021	290	-41	-32	-21	N/A
9/30/2021	278	-41	-30	-16	N/A
6/30/2021	297	-45	-15	-1	N/A
3/31/2021	335	-21	8	21	N/A
12/31/2020	371	-4	41	55	N/A
9/30/2020	406	9	53	66	N/A
6/30/2020	396	16	49	60	N/A
3/31/2020	375	3	42	51	N/A
12/31/2019	357	-17	25	35	N/A
9/30/2019	345	-26	22	29	N/A
6/30/2019	334	-36	25	34	N/A
3/31/2019	333	-39	22	32	N/A
12/31/2018	323	-44	5	20	N/A
9/30/2018	308	-51	-3	17	N/A
6/30/2018	298	-61	-44	-21	N/A
3/31/2018	290	-60	-56	-17	N/A
12/31/2017	293	-53	-80	-33	N/A
9/30/2017	326	-37	-77	-14	N/A
6/30/2017	358	-26	-58	14	N/A
3/31/2017	384	-14	-35	30	N/A
12/31/2016	411	0	2	54	N/A
9/30/2016	391	-2	-4	32	N/A
6/30/2016	371	7	8	34	N/A
3/31/2016	357	6	N/A	24	N/A
12/31/2015	339	4	N/A	26	N/A
9/30/2015	329	5	N/A	32	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NPTN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: NPTN is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: NPTN is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: NPTN's revenue (17.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NPTN's revenue (17.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if NPTN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/08/03 05:47
End of Day Share Price	2022/08/02 00:00
Earnings	2022/06/30
Annual Earnings	2021/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NeoPhotonics Corporation is covered by 16 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Tal Liani	BofA Global Research
Ku Kang	B. Riley Securities, Inc.
Richard Shannon	Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC

This company has been acquired

NeoPhotonics Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased to US$16.00

Price target increased to US$15.20

Consensus forecasts updated

No longer forecast to breakeven

Neophotonics Corporation Provides Earning Guidance for the Quarter Ending June 30, 2021

Analysts lower EPS estimates to -US$0.50

Recent updates

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

NeoPhotonics Corporation Reports Asset Impairment Charges for the Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2022

NeoPhotonics Non-GAAP EPS of $0.15 beats by $0.10, revenue of $95.01M beats by $2.4M

COO & Senior VP exercised options and sold US$212k worth of stock

COO & Senior VP exercised options and sold US$254k worth of stock

NeoPhotonics Corporation(NYSE:NPTN) dropped from Russell Microcap Value Index

NeoPhotonics: Merger Arbitrage

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Senior VP notifies of intention to sell stock

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Price target increased to US$16.00

NeoPhotonics Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 02, 2022

Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock

Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock

NeoPhotonics Corporation Announces Demonstration of Indium Phosphide Components Capable of 120Gbaud Operation Supporting 800G LR, ZR, and ZR+ Transmission

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

NeoPhotonics Corporation Announces Sampling of Open ZR+ QSFP-DD Transceivers

Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock

Independent Director recently sold US$113k worth of stock

COO & Senior VP exercised options and sold US$766k worth of stock

Chairman exercised options to buy US$1.5m worth of stock.

Chairman notifies of intention to sell stock

Price target increased to US$15.20

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.035 loss per share (vs US$0.098 loss in 3Q 2020)

Is NeoPhotonics (NYSE:NPTN) Using Too Much Debt?

NeoPhotonics Corporation Announces Tunable, High Power FMCW Laser and Semiconductor Optical Amplifier for Coherent Lidar in Autonomous Vehicle and Industrial Sensing Applications

NeoPhotonics Corporation Introduces CFP2-DCO Module with 0 dBm Optical Output Power for Use in ROADM Based Metro, Regional and Long Haul Networks

Senior VP recently sold US$222k worth of stock

Why It May Be A Good Time To Go Long NeoPhotonics Even Though Challenges Remain

Consensus forecasts updated

No longer forecast to breakeven

Chairman exercised options and sold US$120k worth of stock

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.34 loss per share (vs US$0.12 profit in 2Q 2020)

Chairman exercised options and sold US$165k worth of stock

NeoPhotonics Corporation(NYSE:NPTN) dropped from Russell Microcap Growth Index

Senior Vice President of Global Sales Yang-Chiah Yee has left the company

NeoPhotonics Announces General Availability of QSFP-DD and OSFP 400ZR Coherent Modules

COO & Senior VP exercised options and sold US$151k worth of stock

NeoPhotonics Corporation Announces CFP2-DCO Module Transmission of 400 Gbps over 1500 km in a 75 GHz-spaced EDFA Only DWDM System

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Increases to CEO Compensation Might Be Put On Hold For Now at NeoPhotonics Corporation (NYSE:NPTN)

NeoPhotonics Announces Pilot Shipments of Class 60 Coherent Modulator and Class 60 Coherent Receiver for 800G and Above Coherent Transmission

Senior VP of Finance & CFO notifies of intention to sell stock

First quarter 2021 earnings released: US$0.21 loss per share (vs US$0.13 profit in 1Q 2020)

Neophotonics Corporation Provides Earning Guidance for the Quarter Ending June 30, 2021

NeoPhotonics' (NYSE:NPTN) Returns Have Hit A Wall

Here's Why NeoPhotonics (NYSE:NPTN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Senior Vice President of Global Sales exercised options and sold US$112k worth of stock

Board Member notifies of intention to sell stock

If You Had Bought NeoPhotonics (NYSE:NPTN) Stock A Year Ago, You Could Pocket A 34% Gain Today

Analysts lower EPS estimates to -US$0.50

Full year 2020 earnings released: US$0.088 loss per share (vs US$0.36 loss in FY 2019)

Price target raised to US$13.17

Revenue beats expectations, earnings disappoint

NeoPhotonics Corporation Announces Availability of its Extended Case Temperature QSFP-DD 400G ZR Modules

Price target raised to US$11.85

COO & Senior VP recently sold US$163k worth of stock

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying NeoPhotonics Corporation (NYSE:NPTN)?

Chairman exercised options and sold US$113k worth of stock

NeoPhotonics Corporation to Report Q4, 2020 Results on Feb 25, 2021

New 90-day high: US$12.73

We Think NeoPhotonics's (NYSE:NPTN) Statutory Profit Might Understate Its Earnings Potential

Chairman exercised options and sold US$172k worth of stock

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Price target raised to US$10.39

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Here’s What’s Happening With Returns At NeoPhotonics (NYSE:NPTN)

New 90-day high: US$9.15