NXP Semiconductors N.V.

NasdaqGS:NXPI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$53.4b

NXP Semiconductors Valuation

Is NXPI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NXPI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NXPI ($214.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($426.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NXPI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NXPI?

Key metric: As NXPI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NXPI. This is calculated by dividing NXPI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NXPI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.7x
EarningsUS$2.71b
Market CapUS$53.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NXPI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NXPI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average47.6x
MCHP Microchip Technology
39.8x31.6%US$29.8b
ON ON Semiconductor
16.2x14.7%US$27.9b
ADI Analog Devices
65.2x22.8%US$105.1b
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems
69.3x21.6%US$28.9b
NXPI NXP Semiconductors
20.1x9.1%US$53.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NXPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the peer average (47.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NXPI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Semiconductor Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TOYO TOYO
4.8xn/aUS$162.84m
SQNS Sequans Communications
1.8x-156.5%US$72.23m
MMAT.Q Meta Materials
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
NXPI 19.7xIndustry Avg. 29.1xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NXPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the US Semiconductor industry average (29.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NXPI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NXPI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.7x
Fair PE Ratio25.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NXPI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NXPI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$214.09
US$265.00
+23.8%
10.3%US$315.00US$200.00n/a31
Dec ’25US$229.37
US$266.07
+16.0%
10.2%US$315.00US$200.00n/a31
Nov ’25US$238.59
US$287.06
+20.3%
10.8%US$370.00US$220.00n/a29
Oct ’25US$232.22
US$292.34
+25.9%
11.2%US$370.00US$220.00n/a28
Sep ’25US$256.36
US$292.47
+14.1%
11.4%US$370.00US$220.00n/a29
Aug ’25US$243.62
US$293.33
+20.4%
11.3%US$370.00US$220.00n/a29
Jul ’25US$265.67
US$282.30
+6.3%
13.8%US$370.00US$150.00n/a30
Jun ’25US$272.10
US$279.53
+2.7%
13.5%US$370.00US$150.00n/a30
May ’25US$249.43
US$273.61
+9.7%
12.9%US$370.00US$150.00n/a29
Apr ’25US$246.28
US$245.10
-0.5%
11.4%US$300.00US$150.00n/a29
Mar ’25US$257.51
US$243.95
-5.3%
10.8%US$300.00US$150.00n/a29
Feb ’25US$213.01
US$234.06
+9.9%
10.6%US$264.00US$150.00n/a28
Jan ’25US$229.68
US$225.00
-2.0%
11.6%US$280.00US$150.00n/a27
Dec ’24US$205.68
US$221.71
+7.8%
11.0%US$260.00US$150.00US$229.3728
Nov ’24US$172.52
US$231.04
+33.9%
8.5%US$260.00US$185.00US$238.5928
Oct ’24US$199.92
US$233.36
+16.7%
8.2%US$260.00US$185.00US$232.2228
Sep ’24US$209.96
US$234.25
+11.6%
8.0%US$260.00US$185.00US$256.3628
Aug ’24US$223.48
US$234.04
+4.7%
8.2%US$260.00US$185.00US$243.6227
Jul ’24US$204.68
US$199.65
-2.5%
11.3%US$250.00US$165.00US$265.6726
Jun ’24US$181.00
US$199.19
+10.1%
11.1%US$250.00US$165.00US$272.1026
May ’24US$166.01
US$198.27
+19.4%
11.2%US$240.00US$160.00US$249.4326
Apr ’24US$186.48
US$197.96
+6.2%
10.6%US$240.00US$160.00US$246.2827
Mar ’24US$178.87
US$197.96
+10.7%
10.6%US$240.00US$160.00US$257.5127
Feb ’24US$193.94
US$195.81
+1.0%
10.4%US$235.00US$160.00US$213.0127
Jan ’24US$158.03
US$183.52
+16.1%
11.8%US$225.00US$140.00US$229.6827
Dec ’23US$173.44
US$182.59
+5.3%
11.8%US$225.00US$140.00US$205.6827

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 22:18
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/29
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NXP Semiconductors N.V. is covered by 61 analysts. 30 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue
Charles BordesAlphaValue
Brett SimpsonArete Research Services LLP