Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

NasdaqGS:TSEM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.2b

Tower Semiconductor Valuation

Is TSEM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSEM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TSEM ($44.55) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($11.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSEM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSEM?

Key metric: As TSEM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSEM. This is calculated by dividing TSEM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSEM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24x
EarningsUS$206.57m
Market CapUS$5.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSEM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSEM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.7x
CRUS Cirrus Logic
16.3x4.3%US$5.4b
RMBS Rambus
31x18.1%US$5.7b
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor
47.4x9.4%US$7.0b
DIOD Diodes
40.2x52.0%US$2.5b
TSEM Tower Semiconductor
24x10.3%US$5.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSEM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the peer average (33.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSEM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Semiconductor Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TOYO TOYO
4.7xn/aUS$160.91m
SQNS Sequans Communications
1.5x-156.5%US$66.23m
No more companies available in this PE range
TSEM 24.0xIndustry Avg. 31.9xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSEM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the US Semiconductor industry average (31.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSEM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSEM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TSEM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSEM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$44.55
US$57.50
+29.1%
7.5%US$60.00US$50.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$41.94
US$53.00
+26.4%
5.5%US$55.00US$48.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$43.08
US$53.00
+23.0%
5.5%US$55.00US$48.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$44.19
US$53.00
+19.9%
5.5%US$55.00US$48.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$39.19
US$53.00
+35.2%
5.5%US$55.00US$48.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$39.67
US$47.31
+19.3%
11.9%US$55.00US$40.23n/a4
Jun ’25US$37.54
US$47.31
+26.0%
11.9%US$55.00US$40.23n/a4
May ’25US$32.31
US$38.24
+18.4%
4.1%US$40.00US$36.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$33.10
US$37.53
+13.4%
5.7%US$40.00US$34.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$33.62
US$37.56
+11.7%
6.2%US$40.00US$34.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$28.68
US$34.21
+19.3%
12.8%US$40.00US$28.00n/a4
Jan ’25US$30.52
US$34.21
+12.1%
12.8%US$40.00US$28.00n/a4
Dec ’24US$27.64
US$33.21
+20.2%
9.7%US$36.00US$28.00n/a4
Nov ’24US$23.01
US$34.75
+51.0%
7.4%US$38.00US$31.00US$41.944
Oct ’24US$24.56
US$34.33
+39.8%
8.4%US$38.00US$31.00US$43.083
Sep ’24US$29.96
US$34.33
+14.6%
8.4%US$38.00US$31.00US$44.193
Aug ’24US$37.93
US$48.67
+28.3%
12.6%US$53.00US$40.00US$39.193
Jul ’24US$37.52
US$50.33
+34.2%
7.5%US$53.00US$45.00US$39.673
Jun ’24US$38.88
US$50.33
+29.5%
7.5%US$53.00US$45.00US$37.543
May ’24US$44.80
US$50.33
+12.4%
7.5%US$53.00US$45.00US$32.313
Apr ’24US$42.47
US$50.33
+18.5%
7.5%US$53.00US$45.00US$33.103
Mar ’24US$40.49
US$50.33
+24.3%
7.5%US$53.00US$45.00US$33.623
Feb ’24US$41.48
US$51.33
+23.8%
4.6%US$53.00US$48.00US$28.683
Jan ’24US$43.20
US$51.33
+18.8%
4.6%US$53.00US$48.00US$30.523
Dec ’23US$44.52
US$51.33
+15.3%
4.6%US$53.00US$48.00US$27.643
Nov ’23US$43.02
US$51.33
+19.3%
4.6%US$53.00US$48.00US$23.013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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