Intel Valuation

Is INTC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of INTC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: INTC ($24.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($147.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: INTC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for INTC?

Key metric: As INTC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for INTC. This is calculated by dividing INTC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is INTC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.9x
SalesUS$54.25b
Market CapUS$104.37b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does INTC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for INTC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.6x
MU Micron Technology
4.3x17.9%US$108.4b
ARM Arm Holdings
39.8x18.2%US$139.8b
ADI Analog Devices
10.8x8.4%US$104.5b
TXN Texas Instruments
11.5x10.3%US$183.4b
INTC Intel
1.9x5.1%US$104.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: INTC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does INTC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Semiconductor Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JKS JinkoSolar Holding
0.08x13.1%US$1.11b
PENG Penguin Solutions
0.8x11.9%US$911.79m
CSIQ Canadian Solar
0.1x13.8%US$731.77m
SEDG SolarEdge Technologies
0.6x21.8%US$606.45m
INTC 1.9xIndustry Avg. 3.7xNo. of Companies17PS03.26.49.612.816+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: INTC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the US Semiconductor industry average (3.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is INTC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

INTC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.9x
Fair PS Ratio4.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: INTC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst INTC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$24.01
US$24.68
+2.8%
11.2%US$31.00US$20.00n/a34
Nov ’25US$23.20
US$24.48
+5.5%
11.7%US$31.00US$20.00n/a34
Oct ’25US$22.69
US$25.85
+13.9%
25.8%US$55.00US$17.00n/a35
Sep ’25US$22.04
US$27.60
+25.2%
32.2%US$55.00US$17.00n/a36
Aug ’25US$29.05
US$38.63
+33.0%
24.1%US$68.00US$17.00n/a39
Jul ’25US$30.84
US$40.06
+29.9%
25.8%US$68.00US$17.00n/a39
Jun ’25US$30.85
US$40.06
+29.9%
25.8%US$68.00US$17.00n/a39
May ’25US$30.37
US$41.51
+36.7%
23.6%US$68.00US$17.00n/a41
Apr ’25US$44.52
US$46.92
+5.4%
20.4%US$68.00US$17.00n/a40
Mar ’25US$43.82
US$46.20
+5.4%
20.6%US$68.00US$17.00n/a39
Feb ’25US$43.36
US$45.80
+5.6%
21.7%US$68.00US$17.00n/a38
Jan ’25US$50.25
US$40.02
-20.4%
20.6%US$68.00US$17.00n/a40
Dec ’24US$43.74
US$38.16
-12.8%
16.8%US$56.00US$17.00n/a40
Nov ’24US$37.29
US$37.70
+1.1%
16.0%US$56.00US$17.00US$23.2040
Oct ’24US$35.55
US$36.30
+2.1%
15.5%US$48.00US$17.00US$22.6940
Sep ’24US$36.61
US$36.30
-0.8%
15.5%US$48.00US$17.00US$22.0440
Aug ’24US$35.80
US$35.77
-0.07%
15.7%US$48.00US$17.00US$29.0539
Jul ’24US$33.44
US$32.19
-3.7%
15.2%US$45.00US$17.00US$30.8436
Jun ’24US$31.13
US$31.49
+1.1%
15.1%US$45.00US$17.00US$30.8534
May ’24US$30.30
US$31.41
+3.7%
15.4%US$45.00US$17.00US$30.3734
Apr ’24US$32.67
US$28.53
-12.7%
18.4%US$45.00US$17.00US$44.5234
Mar ’24US$25.33
US$27.94
+10.3%
18.7%US$45.00US$17.00US$43.8233
Feb ’24US$29.07
US$29.02
-0.2%
29.1%US$67.10US$17.00US$43.3633
Jan ’24US$26.43
US$31.17
+17.9%
29.1%US$67.10US$20.00US$50.2533
Dec ’23US$29.83
US$32.76
+9.8%
34.6%US$72.00US$20.00US$43.7435
Nov ’23US$28.30
US$33.21
+17.3%
36.6%US$72.00US$18.00US$37.2932

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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