Stock Analysis

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As FormFactor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) Shares Dive 34%

NasdaqGS:FORM
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FormFactor, Inc. (NASDAQ:FORM) shares have had a horrible month, losing 34% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 20%.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think FormFactor's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Semiconductor industry is similar at about 3.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for FormFactor

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:FORM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 3rd 2024

How FormFactor Has Been Performing

FormFactor could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on FormFactor will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like FormFactor's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.2% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 5.8% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 13% as estimated by the ten analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 42%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that FormFactor is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What We Can Learn From FormFactor's P/S?

Following FormFactor's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

When you consider that FormFactor's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for FormFactor that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on FormFactor, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.