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Here's What's Concerning About Enphase Energy's (NASDAQ:ENPH) Returns On Capital
Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Enphase Energy (NASDAQ:ENPH) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Enphase Energy, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.011 = US$31m ÷ (US$3.3b - US$567m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Enphase Energy has an ROCE of 1.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Semiconductor industry average of 8.6%.
Check out our latest analysis for Enphase Energy
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Enphase Energy compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Enphase Energy .
So How Is Enphase Energy's ROCE Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Enphase Energy doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 1.1% from 18% five years ago. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a side note, Enphase Energy has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 17% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Enphase Energy have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Yet despite these poor fundamentals, the stock has gained a huge 200% over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
If you want to continue researching Enphase Energy, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
While Enphase Energy isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Enphase Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:ENPH
Enphase Energy
Designs, develops, manufactures, and sells home energy solutions for the solar photovoltaic industry in the United States and internationally.