Ambarella, Inc.

NasdaqGS:AMBA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.9b

Ambarella Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Ambarella is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 38.7% and 13.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 43.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.4% in 3 years.

Key information

38.7%

Earnings growth rate

43.90%

EPS growth rate

Semiconductor earnings growth25.9%
Revenue growth rate13.3%
Future return on equity11.40%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Ambarella Has A Better Growth Angle Than The Market Sees

Apr 27

AMBA: Edge AI Design Wins And Partnerships Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Ambarella, with cuts such as BofA to $72 from $85, Stifel to $90 from $100, and Roth Capital to $65 from $85. This reflects a mixed view that balances the edge AI opportunity against customer specific risks and expectations for sales growth that differ from some small to mid cap semiconductor peers.

AMBA: Edge AI And Automotive Design Wins Will Drive Future Upside

Narrative Update Ambarella's updated analyst price targets, which now cluster in a lower $65 to $90 range, reflect analysts balancing the edge AI opportunity against factors such as slightly slower expected sales growth compared with some semiconductor peers and customer-specific, patent-related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a mixed but generally constructive stance on Ambarella, with lower price targets now more tightly grouped and analysts weighing edge AI growth against customer and patent-related risks.

AMBA: Edge AI And Automotive Execution Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Ambarella to a range of roughly $65 to $90, reflecting updated sales and EPS forecasts that highlight opportunities in edge AI and automotive, while also acknowledging customer specific risks and comparatively slower sales growth versus some small to mid cap semiconductor peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a mixed but generally constructive view on Ambarella, with price targets now clustered between roughly $65 and $90.

AMBA: Edge AI Platforms And Developer Tools Will Support Future Profitability

Narrative Update on Ambarella Analysts have reduced their Ambarella fair value estimate from $80 to $65. They point to lower price targets that now cluster around $65 to $90, reflecting modestly softer revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and tempered future P/E expectations despite ongoing interest in edge AI and automotive opportunities.

AMBA: Edge AI Exhibitions And Developer Tools Will Support Stronger Profitability Ahead

Analysts have kept their $80.00 price target for Ambarella unchanged, citing updated assumptions that now reflect revenue growth of 16.50%, a profit margin of 15.51% and a future P/E of 51.68x, along with a slightly lower discount rate of 10.41%. What's in the News Ambarella plans to exhibit at Embedded World 2026 in Nuremberg, Germany, with a focus on "The Ambarella Edge: From Agentic to Physical AI," featuring live demos across robotics, industrial automation, automotive, edge infrastructure, security and AIoT use cases (Product-Related Announcements).

AMBA: Edge AI Platform And Drone Demand Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts now place Ambarella's fair value at US$115, up from US$105, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and a revised future P/E multiple. What's in the News Launched the Ambarella Developer Zone at CES, a centralized hub with optimized models, low code and no code agentic blueprints, and documentation aimed at speeding up edge AI application development on its SoCs using Cooper software (Key Developments).

Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Feb 06
Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

AMBA: Edge AI DevZone Will Drive Multi Year Platform Expansion

Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Ambarella, with updated assumptions around profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple supporting a new fair value estimate that now stands at roughly US$97.45 per share. What's in the News Ambarella launched its online Ambarella Developer Zone, or DevZone, aimed at helping partners build and deploy edge AI applications faster using optimized models, low code and no code blueprints, and consolidated documentation and tools.

AMBA: Edge AI Platform And DevZone Will Support Multi Year Expansion

Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Ambarella from US$98.09 to US$97.45. This revision mainly reflects a modestly higher discount rate and a lower forward P/E assumption, while revenue growth and margin expectations remain broadly unchanged.

AMBA: Drone-Focused Edge AI Platform Will Drive Stronger Profitability Ahead

Narrative Update on Ambarella Analyst Price Target Analysts have raised their price target on Ambarella from 57.94 dollars to 80.00 dollars, citing expectations for slightly slower top line growth, improved profitability, and a higher justified earnings multiple. What's in the News Ambarella reaffirmed its strategic focus on the drone market, emphasizing low power, high-performance SoCs that combine video processing with on-device AI to enable more autonomous, connectivity-independent drone operations (company announcement).

AMBA: Edge AI Demand Will Drive Multi Year Expansion Trajectory Forward

Analysts have modestly increased their price target on Ambarella, raising fair value by approximately 0.00 dollars to about 98.09 dollars per share. This reflects a slightly improved profit margin outlook that offsets a marginally lower future price to earnings multiple.

AMBA: Edge AI Momentum Will Drive Emerging IoT Opportunities Forward

Ambarella's analyst price target has increased from approximately $93.73 to $98.09, as analysts cite strong Q2 results and growing momentum in the company's IoT and Edge AI businesses. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity has reflected growing confidence in Ambarella's valuation, supported by robust Q2 results and momentum across IoT and Edge AI applications.

AMBA: Momentum in Edge AI and IoT Will Face Ongoing Market Risks

Ambarella's analyst price target has risen sharply, with several firms lifting their outlooks by $10 to $30 per share. Analysts cite strong Q2 results, expanding IoT applications, and momentum in Edge AI design wins as key growth drivers.

Ambarella, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMBA) 30% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Nov 11
Ambarella, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMBA) 30% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Edge AI Momentum and IoT Diversification Will Shape Future Performance

Ambarella's analyst price target has seen a significant upward revision, rising by as much as $37 to $100 per share. Analysts cite robust Q2 performance, design wins in IoT and Edge AI, and an improved revenue outlook as key drivers of optimism.

Expanding Edge AI Markets Will Unlock Future Opportunities

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Ambarella, increasing the price target from $90.05 to $93.73. They cite solid earnings, growing momentum in edge AI markets, and diverse new IoT design wins as key drivers.

Ambarella, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMBA) 29% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Aug 31
Ambarella, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMBA) 29% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Leveraging Edge AI Processing With DeepSeek-R1 Will Unlock New Applications

Ambarella’s analyst price target has been notably raised to $90.05, driven by stronger-than-expected Q2 results and momentum in Edge AI and IoT applications outside automotive, despite continued sector softness. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Ambarella's strong Q2 performance, with revenue and earnings surpassing expectations and exceeding prior guidance.

There's Reason For Concern Over Ambarella, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMBA) Massive 32% Price Jump

Jul 14
There's Reason For Concern Over Ambarella, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMBA) Massive 32% Price Jump

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA)?

Jun 25
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA)?

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) After Shares Rise 32%

May 30
Revenues Not Telling The Story For Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) After Shares Rise 32%

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Ambarella, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMBA) Shares After Tumbling 25%

Apr 05
More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Ambarella, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMBA) Shares After Tumbling 25%
User avatar

Leveraging Edge AI Processing With DeepSeek-R1 Will Unlock New Applications

Ambarella's focus on edge AI, innovative SoCs, and automotive market expansion is driving potential revenue and earnings growth.

We Think Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

Mar 17
We Think Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) After Its Yearly Report

Mar 01
Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) After Its Yearly Report

Should You Investigate Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) At US$82.94?

Feb 20
Should You Investigate Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) At US$82.94?

High Valuation = High Risk For This Name: Downgrading Ambarella To A Sell

Jan 19

Ambarella Earnings: The Surge Could Make A New Dawn For Investors

Nov 27

Are Investors Undervaluing Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) By 40%?

Nov 19
Are Investors Undervaluing Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) By 40%?

Ambarella: Intriguing, As We Have Been Here Before

Nov 11

At US$60.09, Is Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) Worth Looking At Closely?

Oct 15
At US$60.09, Is Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) Worth Looking At Closely?

Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) Just Reported Second-Quarter Earnings And Analysts Are Lifting Their Estimates

Aug 30
Ambarella, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMBA) Just Reported Second-Quarter Earnings And Analysts Are Lifting Their Estimates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:AMBA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
1/31/2029579-34861154
1/31/2028501-52458313
1/31/2027441-60306213
1/31/2026391-765874N/A
10/31/2025374-806480N/A
7/31/2025348-893752N/A
4/30/2025316-1045064N/A
1/31/2025285-1172334N/A
10/31/2024252-157-44N/A
7/31/2024220-175-26N/A
4/30/2024219-171-29-18N/A
1/31/2024226-169719N/A
10/31/2023258-1201628N/A
7/31/2023291-981226N/A
4/30/2023309-902033N/A
1/31/2023338-652944N/A
10/31/2022345-634360N/A
7/31/2022354-434862N/A
4/30/2022352-266477N/A
1/31/2022332-262939N/A
10/31/2021304-302131N/A
7/31/2021268-482735N/A
4/30/2021238-551219N/A
1/31/2021223-602631N/A
10/31/2020218-602122N/A
7/31/2020230-483031N/A
4/30/2020236-434042N/A
1/31/2020229-453839N/A
10/31/2019223-36N/A49N/A
7/31/2019212-41N/A31N/A
4/30/2019218-38N/A30N/A
1/31/2019228-30N/A24N/A
10/31/2018247-25N/A36N/A
7/31/2018279-4N/A59N/A
4/30/20182886N/A62N/A
1/31/201829519N/A85N/A
10/31/201731236N/A93N/A
7/31/201732453N/A109N/A
4/30/201731759N/A121N/A
1/31/201731058N/A113N/A
10/31/201629145N/A111N/A
7/31/201628345N/A104N/A
4/30/201630359N/A114N/A
1/31/201631677N/A124N/A
10/31/201531389N/A110N/A
7/31/201528678N/A91N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AMBA is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: AMBA is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: AMBA is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AMBA's revenue (13.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AMBA's revenue (13.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AMBA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 14:25
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2026/01/31
Annual Earnings2026/01/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ambarella, Inc. is covered by 22 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexi UngerArete Research Services LLP
David WilliamsAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Tristan GerraBaird