Zalando Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of ZLND.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ZLND.Y ($15.07) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] ($33.67)

Is ZLND.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZLND.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZLND.Y ($15.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($33.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZLND.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZLND.Y?

Key metric: As ZLND.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ZLND.Y. This is calculated by dividing ZLND.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ZLND.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	36x
Earnings	€204.10m
Market Cap	€7.36b

ZLND.Y key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	12.2x
PEG Ratio	1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ZLND.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ZLND.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	22.7x
GAP Gap	11.1x	3.5%	US$9.1b
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch	14.1x	0.3%	US$7.5b
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings	27.1x	16.8%	US$4.2b
BURL Burlington Stores	38.5x	19.2%	US$18.0b
ZLND.Y Zalando	36x	21.9%	US$7.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZLND.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the peer average (22.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ZLND.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

6 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle	2x	n/a	US$14.48m
SSOK Sunstock	1.3x	n/a	US$723.59k
MASN Maison Luxe	0.08x	n/a	US$144.03k
EXPR.Q Express	0.000002x	n/a	US$37.84k

6 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZLND.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZLND.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZLND.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	36x
Fair PE Ratio	21x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ZLND.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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