ZOZO Valuation

Is SATL.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SATL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SATL.F ($33.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($25.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SATL.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SATL.F?

Key metric: As SATL.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SATL.F. This is calculated by dividing SATL.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SATL.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.3x
EarningsJP¥45.16b
Market CapJP¥1.41t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SATL.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SATL.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
ANF Abercrombie & Fitch
14.6x2.9%US$7.4b
GAP Gap
10.5x5.6%US$8.1b
BURL Burlington Stores
40x17.8%US$16.9b
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings
26.7x16.8%US$4.1b
31.3x7.4%US$1.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SATL.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SATL.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
1.7xn/aUS$11.23m
SSOK Sunstock
1.8xn/aUS$771.79k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.08xn/aUS$144.03k
EXPR.Q Express
0.000002xn/aUS$11.24k
SATL.F 31.3xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SATL.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SATL.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SATL.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SATL.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SATL.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$33.60
US$28.33
-15.7%
15.5%US$38.89US$22.04n/a16
Nov ’25n/a
US$27.91
0%
15.5%US$39.22US$22.23n/a16
Oct ’25US$36.10
US$28.56
-20.9%
15.5%US$41.75US$23.66n/a15
Sep ’25n/a
US$27.48
0%
17.0%US$41.40US$22.08n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
US$25.27
0%
10.7%US$30.65US$21.37n/a15
Jul ’25US$25.20
US$22.49
-10.7%
7.2%US$25.06US$20.05n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
US$22.76
0%
7.6%US$25.50US$20.40n/a15
May ’25US$21.10
US$22.43
+6.3%
8.0%US$25.40US$19.68n/a15
Apr ’25n/a
US$23.02
0%
9.3%US$26.51US$19.55n/a15
Mar ’25n/a
US$22.19
0%
8.5%US$26.58US$19.60n/a15
Feb ’25US$21.97
US$22.56
+2.7%
7.0%US$25.76US$20.16n/a15
Jan ’25US$22.60
US$23.06
+2.0%
6.7%US$25.63US$21.06n/a15
Dec ’24US$21.77
US$22.25
+2.2%
7.7%US$25.23US$20.19n/a15
Nov ’24US$19.60
US$21.60
+10.2%
9.0%US$24.74US$17.81n/a16
Oct ’24US$19.45
US$22.41
+15.2%
8.9%US$25.36US$18.26US$36.1014
Sep ’24US$19.15
US$23.08
+20.5%
7.7%US$25.62US$18.45n/a15
Aug ’24US$19.57
US$23.70
+21.1%
5.9%US$26.15US$21.13n/a15
Jul ’24US$21.00
US$23.95
+14.1%
5.5%US$26.08US$21.56US$25.2014
Jun ’24n/a
US$24.89
0%
6.1%US$28.10US$22.33n/a14
May ’24US$22.15
US$25.53
+15.3%
5.9%US$28.63US$22.75US$21.1013
Apr ’24n/a
US$27.03
0%
9.0%US$33.27US$23.71n/a13
Mar ’24n/a
US$27.44
0%
13.8%US$37.58US$23.30n/a13
Feb ’24US$26.10
US$27.82
+6.6%
13.7%US$38.42US$23.44US$21.9714
Jan ’24US$25.02
US$27.46
+9.8%
13.3%US$37.59US$22.93US$22.6014
Dec ’23US$23.80
US$25.84
+8.6%
15.4%US$35.99US$19.43US$21.7714
Nov ’23US$21.78
US$24.17
+11.0%
15.3%US$33.63US$18.16US$19.6014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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