Stock Analysis

TJX Companies (TJX): Is There More Value Left After a Modest Dip in Share Price?

TJX Companies (TJX) stock has moved modestly over the past week, with a slight dip of about 1%. Investors seem to be closely watching recent trends, particularly given the steady growth in both revenue and net income this year.

See our latest analysis for TJX Companies.

Zooming out, TJX Companies’ 1-year total shareholder return of 26.25% speaks to a steady run that has left long-term investors well rewarded, with an even more impressive 104% total return over three years. While the share price has cooled slightly in the past week, recent momentum remains positive and suggests the market still sees underlying growth potential.

If you’re looking for more opportunities riding solid growth trends, now could be the perfect moment to broaden your search and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

With shares hovering near all-time highs and analyst targets just ahead, the key question now is whether TJX Companies offers hidden value or if the market has already priced in all of its future growth prospects.

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Most Popular Narrative: 5% Undervalued

At $141.91, TJX Companies trades just below the most widely followed fair value estimate, which is set at $149.44. Analysts and observers anticipate that current growth trends and operational performance may justify a bit more upside from here.

The company's uniquely flexible, discovery-driven in-store experience is driving higher store traffic from a wide demographic range, including increased engagement from younger customers. This approach capitalizes on consumer desire for experiential shopping and repeat visits, supporting both top-line revenue and frequency of purchases.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how this narrative arrives at a premium price tag for TJX? The real secrets lie in bullish assumptions about future margins and a profit trajectory usually seen in top-tier growth stocks. Want to see which numbers power this outlook? Find out which core metrics are fueling the analysts’ convictions about TJX’s fair value. Read on for the full story.

Result: Fair Value of $149.44 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, rapidly rising labor costs or a major shift to online shopping could easily change this outlook. These factors may put future growth projections at risk.

Find out about the key risks to this TJX Companies narrative.

Another View: Not So Cheap on Earnings

While the fair value estimate paints TJX as undervalued, looking at its price-to-earnings ratio tells a different story. Trading at 31.8x earnings, TJX sits well above the US Specialty Retail average of 16.9x and its fair ratio of 21x. This premium signals investors are paying up for growth, but it raises the question of whether the risk is too high if momentum slows.

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NYSE:TJX PE Ratio as at Oct 2025
NYSE:TJX PE Ratio as at Oct 2025

Build Your Own TJX Companies Narrative

If you'd rather chart your own course, you can dive into the data and build your own TJX story in just a few minutes: Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding TJX Companies.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TJX Companies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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